Match Info

Date: 30 November 2020, Monday


	Vitória de Sernache		Leiria

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.2	2.15
	2.63	3.05	2.43
	3	3.1	2.2
	3.27	2.99	2.12
	3	3.2	2.15
	3.18	3.18	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↑ (2.82)	3.12 ↓ (3.32)	2.21 ↓ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Vitória de Sernache
29.9%

Draw
29%

Leiria
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

27.6%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6%

20%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitória de Sernache has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Leiria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória de Sernache than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vitória de Sernache that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiria than the current prediction. (+14%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leiria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.7%	9.4%	71.9%

Vitória de Sernache - Leiria Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Sernache will win (votes: 6 - 18.8%). Leiria will win (votes: 23 - 71.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 9.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leiria: 56.3% – 87.5%.

#ad

Preview

Recent matches Sernache is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Leiria is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Leiria could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Leiria will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitória de Sernache
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
15.11.20	SB Castelo Branco - Vitória de Sernache	3:1 ✺
08.11.20	Alcains - Vitória de Sernache	1:1 ✺
04.11.20	Vitória de Sernache - Oleiros	4:4 ✺
18.10.20	Vitória de Sernache - Carapinheirense	1:1 ✺
04.10.20	GRAP - Vitória de Sernache	1:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTTTW
- UD Leiria
Taça de Portugal
20.11.20	Leiria - Portimonense	1:0 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
15.11.20	Leiria - Carapinheirense	3:1 ✺
06.11.20	Marinhense - Leiria	1:1 ✺
17.10.20	Leiria - Oleiros	1:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
11.10.20	1 Dezembro - Leiria	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 WWTTW

Upcoming Matches