Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 26

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio Municipal de Tábua (Tábua)


	Oliveira Hospital		Marinhense

	1	X	2
	1.27	4.35	11
	1.26	4.57	10.6
	1.28	4.53	11.04	Watch
	1.29	4	11
	1.27	4.45	11.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.34)	4.38 ↓ (4.5)	10.99 ↑ (9.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oliveira Hospital
71.1%

Draw
20.7%

Marinhense
8.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.3%

20.6%

10.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.4%

19.2%

9.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oliveira Hospital has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Marinhense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oliveira Hospital than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marinhense than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Oliveira Hospital - Marinhense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
70', 1 - 0, ⚽,
83', 2 - 0, ⚽,
90+4', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Marinhense is Relegated to

Oliveira Hospital is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Marinhense has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Oliveira Hospital is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Oliveira Hospital will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oliveira Hospital won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:2. (average 1.6:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Oliveira Hospital won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Oliveira Hospital	4	3	0	1	6:4	2	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oliveira Hospital
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
12.04.26	SC Lusitânia - Oliveira Hospital	1:2 ✺
04.04.26	Oliveira Hospital - União da Serra	2:0 ✺
29.03.26	Fatima - Oliveira Hospital	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	SB Castelo Branco - Oliveira Hospital	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Oliveira Hospital - Eléctrico	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWTW
- AC Marinhense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
12.04.26	Marinhense - Lajense	4:5 ✺
04.04.26	Marinhense - SC Lusitânia	1:1 ✺
29.03.26	Mortágua - Marinhense	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	União da Serra - Marinhense	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Marinhense - SB Castelo Branco	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
21.12.25	Marinhense - Oliveira Hospital	0:3
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
10.04.21	Marinhense - Oliveira Hospital	1:2
10.01.21	Oliveira Hospital - Marinhense	2:0
08.03.20	Marinhense - Oliveira Hospital	1:0
27.10.19	Oliveira Hospital - Marinhense	1:0

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