Match Info

FNL - Round 32

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Trud Stadium (Ulyanovsk)

Referee: Shamara V. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Russia	Match! Premier


	Volga Ulyanovsk		Sokol Saratov

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.96	5.71
	1.62	3.93	5.71	Watch
	1.54	3.5	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.7)	3.8 ↑ (3.46)	5.58 ↓ (5.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Volga Ulyanovsk
58.7%

Draw
24.6%

Sokol Saratov
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

27.6%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

26.9%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Volga Ulyanovsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Sokol Saratov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volga Ulyanovsk than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sokol Saratov than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Volga Ulyanovsk - Sokol Saratov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Baburin E. (G) 17. Gershun I. 6. Tikhiy D. 20. Kovalev K. 4. Ibragimov K. 3. Krasilnichenko O. 99. Kostin A. 90. Folmer K. 28. Novikov D. 77. Bagatelia L. 14. Yakovlev V.	1. Kraykov T. (G) 19. Butaev A. 5. Kovacevic V. 6. Pechenkin N. 33. Gloydman N. 17. Mukhin A. 23. Churikov I. 77. Sasin D. 8. Kahrimanovic A. 91. Kutovoy M. 97. Pasevich R.
Substitutes
1. Dovgal A. (G) 97. Eremeev D. (G) 9. Kamenshchikov D. 92. Kasyanov I. 7. Murza A. 87. Pshennikov E. 22. Rakhmanov D. 19. Rudenko V. 27. Umnikov M. 31. Ustimov S. 37. Voronin E.	27. Egorushkin A. 7. Gurtsiev B. 13. Kireenko P. 92. Kostin V. 36. Levashov M. (G) 71. Poyarkov N. 25. Rakhmatulin M. 9. Shpitalnyi V. 51. Sinyak A.
Coaches
Belov M.	Kharlachev Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Gloydman N. 🟨,
38', Mukhin A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Kutovoy M. ↓, Shpitalnyi V. ↑,
57', Gershun I. ↓, Murza A. ↑,
57', Bagatelia L. ↓, Pshennikov E. ↑,
62', 0 - 1, Kahrimanovic A. (Penalty Awarded),
66', Yakovlev V. ↓, Kamenshchikov D. ↑,
66', Novikov D. ↓, Kasyanov I. ↑,
68', Sasin D. ↓, Kireenko P. ↑,
74', Folmer K. ↓, Rudenko V. ↑,
78', Pasevich R. ↓, Poyarkov N. ↑,
78', Butaev A. ↓, Kostin V. ↑,
78', Rudenko V. 🟨,
82', Kahrimanovic A. ↓, Sinyak A. ↑,
85', Tikhiy D. 🟨,
89', Kovalev K. 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

In recent matches, Volga Ulyanovsk has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sokol Saratov's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Volga Ulyanovsk is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Volga Ulyanovsk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Volga Ulyanovsk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Outrights of Russian FNL for now

Ulyanovsk: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Ulyanovsk	13	4	2	7	16:19	-3	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Volga Ulyanovsk
Russian FNL
26.04.26	Rotor - Volga Ulyanovsk	0:0 ✺
22.04.26	Volga Ulyanovsk - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Rodina Moscow - Volga Ulyanovsk	0:0 ✺
12.04.26	Volga Ulyanovsk - Shinnik	0:1 ✺
05.04.26	SKA Khabarovsk - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TWTLT
- Sokol Saratov
Russian FNL
26.04.26	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Sokol Saratov	0:1 ✺
22.04.26	Sokol Saratov - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	0:4 ✺
18.04.26	Sokol Saratov - Ural	0:3 ✺
12.04.26	Rotor - Sokol Saratov	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Sokol Saratov - Rodina Moscow	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
25.10.25	Sokol Saratov - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:0
Russian Cup
24.08.16	Volga Ulyanovsk - Sokol Saratov	1:0
30.08.14	Volga Ulyanovsk - Sokol Saratov	0:3

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