Match Info

FNL - Round 29

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Arena Khimki (Khimki)

Referee: Lapatukhin A. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Russia	Match! Premier


	Rodina Moscow		Volga Ulyanovsk

	1	X	2
	1.56	4.11	6.04
	1.58	4.06	5.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.67)	4.09 ↑ (3.41)	6.01 ↓ (6.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rodina Moscow
60.8%

Draw
23.4%

Volga Ulyanovsk
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

28%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

27.1%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rodina Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Volga Ulyanovsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rodina Moscow than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volga Ulyanovsk than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Rodina Moscow - Volga Ulyanovsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Volkov S. (G) 18. Abdusalamov M. 49. Dyatlov I. 5. Egorychev A. 6. Fishchenko R. 55. Krizan M. 9. Maksimenko A. 26. Meshchaninov A. (C) 10. Reyna Y. 88. Sokol A. 99. Timoshenko I.	23. Baburin E. (G) 77. Bagatelia L. 90. Folmer K. 17. Gershun I. 4. Ibragimov K. 30. Khabibullin A. (C) 99. Kostin A. 8. Rakhmanov D. 55. Saplinov A. 6. Tikhiy D. 14. Yakovlev V.
Substitutes
7. Arce S. 1. Aydarov S. (G) 17. Bakaev S. 22. Beskibalniy A. 80. Bessmertniy S. 8. Cissoko K. 96. Gharibyan A. 3. Goglichidze L. 77. Koryan A. 38. Musaev L. 23. Ushatov K. 21. Yudintsev G.	97. Eremeev D. (G) 9. Kamenshchikov D. 92. Kasyanov I. 20. Kovalev K. 3. Krasilnichenko O. 7. Murza A. 28. Novikov D. 87. Pshennikov E. 22. Rakhmanov D. 19. Rudenko V. 27. Umnikov M. 37. Voronin E.
Coaches
Diaz J.	Belov M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rakhmanov D. ↓, Kovalev K. ↑,
47', Bagatelia L. ↓, Kasyanov I. ↑,
53', Kasyanov I. 🟨,
62', Gershun I. ↓, Krasilnichenko O. ↑,
62', Yakovlev V. ↓, Kamenshchikov D. ↑,
63', Maksimenko A. ↓, Bakaev S. ↑,
69', Abdusalamov M. ↓, Arce S. ↑,
76', Tikhiy D. ↓, Umnikov M. ↑,
81', Timoshenko I. ↓, Cissoko K. ↑,
82', Egorychev A. ↓, Gharibyan A. ↑,
90+3', Saplinov A. 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 14).

Rodina has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Volga Ulyanovsk has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Rodina is a strong favorite.

We predict that Rodina will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Rodina won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 2.3:0.8).

Including home match between the teams, Rodina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Outrights of Russian FNL for now

Ulyanovsk: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Ulyanovsk	13	4	2	7	16:19	-3	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rodina Moscow
Russian FNL
13.04.26	Fakel - Rodina Moscow	1:3 ✺
05.04.26	Sokol Saratov - Rodina Moscow	1:3 ✺
29.03.26	Rodina Moscow - Ural	3:1 ✺
23.03.26	Rodina Moscow - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	5:2 ✺
14.03.26	SKA Khabarovsk - Rodina Moscow	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWWWT
- FC Volga Ulyanovsk
Russian FNL
12.04.26	Volga Ulyanovsk - Shinnik	0:1 ✺
05.04.26	SKA Khabarovsk - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Volga Ulyanovsk - Spartak Kostroma	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Ufa - Volga Ulyanovsk	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Volga Ulyanovsk - Chelyabinsk	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
02.11.25	Volga Ulyanovsk - Rodina Moscow	1:2
27.05.23	Volga Ulyanovsk - Rodina Moscow	0:1
Club Friendly
19.02.23	Volga Ulyanovsk - Rodina Moscow	1:4
Russian FNL
06.11.22	Rodina Moscow - Volga Ulyanovsk	2:1

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