Match Info

FNL - Round 14

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion imeni V.I. Lenina (Khabarovsk) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Moldovan V. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Belarus	08:00	Sport TV


	SKA Khabarovsk		Volga Ulyanovsk

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.39	3.01
	2.35	3.3	2.95
	2.38	3.4	3.01	Watch
	2.3	3.1	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.51)	3.3 ↓ (3.38)	2.93 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SKA Khabarovsk
39.7%

Draw
28.4%

Volga Ulyanovsk
31.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.8%

28.1%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

28.1%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SKA Khabarovsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Volga Ulyanovsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SKA Khabarovsk than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volga Ulyanovsk than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

SKA Khabarovsk - Volga Ulyanovsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Shtepa M. (G) 6. Bagiev S. 63. Borisov D. 50. Glotov S. 84. Grebenkin Y. 77. Koryan A. 21. Maksimov M. 8. Markitesov D. 7. Motpan N. 4. Savichev K. 2. Zhirov A.	1. Shakerov R. (G) 50. Bykov A. 88. Dziov M. 9. Folmer K. 4. Ibragimov K. (C) 60. Kasyanov I. 11. Khashkulov A. 99. Kostin A. 7. Nikitin A. 55. Saplinov A. 5. Stepanov D.
Substitutes
. Alcalde J. 10. Aliev K. 5. Bliev E. 16. Botnar V. (G) 37. Chirkov M. 17. Fomin D. 24. Gorelishvili M. 14. Mosin E. 31. Nagaev D. (G) 91. Noskov E. 20. Shkolik I. 61. Uzhgin M.	77. Bagatelia L. 17. Gershun I. 30. Khabibullin A. 95. Khodanovich A. (G) 20. Kovalev K. 3. Krasilnichenko O. 22. Rakhmanov D. 10. Shagiakhmetov R.
Coaches
Zhukov S.	Grishchenko A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Khashkulov A. ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, Motpan N. (Penalty Awarded),
42', Kostin A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', Koryan A. ↓, Mosin E. ↑,
64', Maksimov M. ↓, Gorelishvili M. ↑,
66', Ibragimov K. 🟨,
66', Kasyanov I. ↓, Rakhmanov D. ↑,
66', Nikitin A. ↓, Gershun I. ↑,
70', Bykov A. ↓, Khabibullin A. ↑,
71', Folmer K. ↓, Shagiakhmetov R. ↑,
78', Glotov S. ↓, Alcalde J. ↑,
78', Motpan N. ↓, Shkolik I. ↑,
81', (Penalty Awarded),
81', 1 - 2, Saplinov A. ⚽,
84', Stepanov D. ↓, Krasilnichenko O. ↑,
86', Grebenkin Y. 🟨,
86', Dziov M. 🟨,

Preview

Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 17th in the Relegation and 12th).

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Volga Ulyanovsk may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, SKA Khabarovsk has recorded 0 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:3 (averaging 0.5:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for SKA Khabarovsk against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:2 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Ulyanovsk	16	6	3	7	21:22	-1	21
17	SKA Khabarovsk	15	2	4	9	18:28	-10	10

Outrights of Russian FNL for now

Ulyanovsk: 0.8% SKA Khabarovsk: 0.8%

Last Results with these Odds

SKA Khabarovsk - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 37.83%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Volga Ulyanovsk - the odds 2.79 are the expected chance of winning is 34.03%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SKA Khabarovsk
Russian Cup
14.10.26	SKA Khabarovsk - Dynamo Kirov	2:0 ✺
Russian FNL
10.10.26	SKA Khabarovsk - KAMAZ	3:3 ✺
27.09.26	Shinnik - SKA Khabarovsk	0:0 ✺
18.09.26	Sochi - SKA Khabarovsk	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	Arsenal Tula - SKA Khabarovsk	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.9 WTTTT
- FC Volga Ulyanovsk
Russian Cup
14.10.26	Volga Ulyanovsk - Murom	1:0 penalties ✺
Russian FNL
10.10.26	Rotor - Volga Ulyanovsk	2:2 ✺
04.10.26	Veles Moscow - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:2 ✺
26.09.26	Volga Ulyanovsk - Leningradets	0:1 ✺
18.09.26	Volga Ulyanovsk - Spartak Kostroma	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
05.04.26	SKA Khabarovsk - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:1
17.08.25	Volga Ulyanovsk - SKA Khabarovsk	1:0
22.04.23	SKA Khabarovsk - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:1
01.10.22	Volga Ulyanovsk - SKA Khabarovsk	0:0

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