Match Info

FNL - Round 27

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion imeni V.I. Lenina (Khabarovsk)

Referee: Mashlyakevich A. (Rus)


	SKA Khabarovsk		Volga Ulyanovsk

	1	X	2
	2.52	3.26	2.93
	2.4	3.25	2.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.43)	3.26 ↓ (3.36)	2.92 ↑ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SKA Khabarovsk
38.5%

Draw
29.1%

Volga Ulyanovsk
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

28.3%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

29.6%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SKA Khabarovsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Volga Ulyanovsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SKA Khabarovsk than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volga Ulyanovsk than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

SKA Khabarovsk - Volga Ulyanovsk Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kuznetsov A. (G) 71. Masternoy V. 91. Noskov E. 3. Pliev K. 4. Kozhemyakin O. 13. Yanov D. 7. Aliev K. 20. Tur J. A. 55. Aleynikov V. 19. Alcalde J. 50. Glotov S.	23. Baburin E. (G) 3. Krasilnichenko O. 4. Ibragimov K. 30. Khabibullin A. (C) 99. Kostin A. 7. Murza A. 8. Rakhmanov D. 90. Folmer K. 77. Bagatelia L. 55. Saplinov A. 14. Yakovlev V.
Substitutes
14. Bragin V. 8. Emeljanov R. 84. Grebenkin Y. 82. Ilyev D. 78. Imamov I. (G) 40. Prishchepov R. 54. Vshivkov V.	1. Dovgal A. (G) 17. Gershun I. 9. Kamenshchikov D. 92. Kasyanov I. 28. Novikov D. 19. Rudenko V. 6. Tikhiy D. 27. Umnikov M. 37. Voronin E.
Coaches
Poddubskiy A.	Belov M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', Aleynikov V. 🟨,
20', 0 - 1, Yakovlev V. ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, Glotov S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Krasilnichenko O. ↓, Umnikov M. ↑,
60', Bagatelia L. ↓, Kasyanov I. ↑,
60', Murza A. ↓, Gershun I. ↑,
61', Alcalde J. ↓, Bragin V. ↑,
71', Gershun I. 🟨,
72', Yakovlev V. ↓, Kamenshchikov D. ↑,
78', Aleynikov V. ↓, Vshivkov V. ↑,
85', Rakhmanov D. ↓, Voronin E. ↑,
88', Ibragimov K. 🟨,
89', Tur J. A. 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 12 and 14)

SKA Khabarovsk is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Volga Ulyanovsk has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Volga Ulyanovsk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, SKA Khabarovsk won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, SKA Khabarovsk won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Outrights of Russian FNL for now

Ulyanovsk: 0.78% SKA Khabarovsk: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Ulyanovsk	13	4	2	7	16:19	-3	14
18	SKA Khabarovsk	12	1	3	8	11:23	-12	6

Last Results with these Odds

SKA Khabarovsk - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 39.07%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Volga Ulyanovsk - the odds 2.91 are the expected chance of winning is 32.68%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SKA Khabarovsk
Russian FNL
30.03.26	Torpedo Moscow - SKA Khabarovsk	4:1 ✺
22.03.26	SKA Khabarovsk - Arsenal Tula	1:3 ✺
14.03.26	SKA Khabarovsk - Rodina Moscow	2:2 ✺
07.03.26	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - SKA Khabarovsk	3:0 ✺
01.03.26	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - SKA Khabarovsk	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLTLW
- FC Volga Ulyanovsk
Russian FNL
28.03.26	Volga Ulyanovsk - Spartak Kostroma	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Ufa - Volga Ulyanovsk	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Volga Ulyanovsk - Chelyabinsk	2:2 ✺
09.03.26	Arsenal Tula - Volga Ulyanovsk	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
17.08.25	Volga Ulyanovsk - SKA Khabarovsk	1:0
22.04.23	SKA Khabarovsk - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:1
01.10.22	Volga Ulyanovsk - SKA Khabarovsk	0:0

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