Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - ROUND 13

Date: 8 October 2023, Sunday

Location: Tsentralnyi Stadion (Astrakhan)

Referee: Abrosimov I. (Rus)


	Volgar Astrakhan		KAMAZ

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.15	4.52
	1.8	3.3	4.55	Watch
	1.9	3.1	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.52)	3.18 ↓ (3.2)	4.36 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Volgar Astrakhan
49.6%

Draw
29.1%

KAMAZ
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

30%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

30.5%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Volgar Astrakhan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Volgar Astrakhan's performance.

KAMAZ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and KAMAZ might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volgar Astrakhan than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Volgar Astrakhan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KAMAZ than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that KAMAZ could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Volgar Astrakhan - KAMAZ Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. Odoevski D. (G) 44. Anisimov A. 22. Khomukha I. 8. Klenkin D. 17. Lesnikov D. 14. Poluboyarinov D. 28. Proshkin E. 55. Shlyakov E. 31. Tkachuk D. (C) 9. Zhamaletdinov T. 58. Zuev I.	31. Anisimov A. (G) 4. Abramov A. 7. Ayukin R. (C) 29. Badrtdinov I. 33. Fartuna B. 3. Gyurdzhan A. 42. Kirillov Y. 74. Kul R. 15. Ratnikov S. 97. Talikin D. 9. Ukomskiy A.
Substitutes
11. Bolonin A. 43. Gilyazetdinov A. 19. Kosarev K. 70. Malyarov N. 42. Shaikhtdinov D. 90. Shakuro P. 20. Smirnov D. 99. Smirnov O. (G) 23. Ushatov K.	69. Asylov I. 19. Borisenko G. 22. Gorelov P. 70. Mamishov R. 13. Pochivalin V. 78. Shcherbatyuk A. 1. Smirnov A. (G) 17. Vorobyov K. 10. Zashchepkin R.
Coaches
Pavlov S.	Klontsak V.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Volgar won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Recently Volgar have a series of guest games.

Volgar will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Volgar won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Volgar won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Volgar Astrakhan
Russian FNL
01.10.23	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Volgar Astrakhan	1:1 ✺
Russian Cup
27.09.23	Znamya Truda - Volgar Astrakhan	1:3 ✺
Russian FNL
23.09.23	Volgar Astrakhan - Arsenal Tula	1:1 ✺
17.09.23	Leningradets - Volgar Astrakhan	0:0 ✺
10.09.23	SKA Khabarovsk - Volgar Astrakhan	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 TWTTT
- KAMAZ Naberezhnye Chelny
Russian FNL
02.10.23	Rodina Moscow - KAMAZ	1:0 ✺
Russian Cup
27.09.23	KAMAZ - Leningradets	1:0 ✺
Russian FNL
22.09.23	KAMAZ - Torpedo Moscow	1:0 ✺
16.09.23	KAMAZ - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	0:1 ✺
09.09.23	Sokol Saratov - KAMAZ	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
29.04.23	KAMAZ - Volgar Astrakhan	2:2
09.10.22	Volgar Astrakhan - KAMAZ	0:0
17.11.21	KAMAZ - Volgar Astrakhan	0:0
08.08.21	Volgar Astrakhan - KAMAZ	0:1
15.11.15	KAMAZ - Volgar Astrakhan	Volgar-Astrakhan awarded
20.07.15	Volgar Astrakhan - KAMAZ	3:0

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