Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - ROUND 11

Date: 23 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Tsentralnyi Stadion (Astrakhan)

Referee: Averyanov K. (Rus)


	Volgar Astrakhan		Arsenal Tula

	1	X	2
	2.67	3.16	2.67
	2.67	3.18	2.57	Watch
	2.65	3.1	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↓ (3.2)	3.15 ↓ (3.3)	2.58 ↑ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Volgar Astrakhan
34.7%

Draw
29.4%

Arsenal Tula
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

28.2%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

27.3%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Volgar Astrakhan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Volgar Astrakhan's performance.

Arsenal Tula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arsenal Tula might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volgar Astrakhan than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Volgar Astrakhan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Tula than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arsenal Tula could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Volgar Astrakhan - Arsenal Tula Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Volgar won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Volgar won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Volgar won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Volgar Astrakhan
Russian FNL
17.09.23	Leningradets - Volgar Astrakhan	0:0 ✺
10.09.23	SKA Khabarovsk - Volgar Astrakhan	1:1 ✺
02.09.23	Volgar Astrakhan - Sokol Saratov	1:2 ✺
26.08.23	Khimki - Volgar Astrakhan	0:0 ✺
19.08.23	Volgar Astrakhan - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 TTLTT
- Arsenal Tula
Russian FNL
17.09.23	Arsenal Tula - Shinnik	2:0 ✺
11.09.23	Arsenal Tula - Khimki	0:2 ✺
04.09.23	Tyumen - Arsenal Tula	1:2 ✺
28.08.23	Arsenal Tula - Torpedo Moscow	1:1 ✺
21.08.23	KAMAZ - Arsenal Tula	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
13.05.23	Volgar Astrakhan - Arsenal Tula	1:2
23.10.22	Arsenal Tula - Volgar Astrakhan	3:2
Club Friendly
06.07.22	Volgar Astrakhan - Arsenal Tula	1:0
Russian FNL
16.03.16	Volgar Astrakhan - Arsenal Tula	1:1
23.08.15	Arsenal Tula - Volgar Astrakhan	1:1
Russian Cup
24.09.14	Volgar Astrakhan - Arsenal Tula	0:1

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