Match Info

Pershaya Liga - Round 29

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Volna Stadium (Pinsk) 🌤️ ...


	Volna Pinsk		Minsk 2

	1	X	2
	2.10	3.75	2.60
	2.10	3.50	2.55
	2.21	3.78	2.46	Watch
	1.88	4.20	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.21)	3.81 ↑ (3.78)	2.62 ↑ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 12.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Volna Pinsk
42.8%

Draw
23.3%

Minsk 2
33.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.3%

23.5%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

21.9%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Volna Pinsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Minsk 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volna Pinsk than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minsk 2 than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Letsko S. (G) 10. Grechikha M. 91. Matyash D. 17. Polkhovskiy K. 2. Prokopchuk D. 7. Radzhabov A. 33. Sedro I. 21. Susha A. 6. Tarabesh I. 11. Tkachik D. 8. Vlasov A.	1. Sukharenko M. (G) 9. Bondarenko I. 7. Bulatskiy G. 13. Denisenko D. 14. Ganchuk V. 21. Kazakov A. 17. Kindruk E. 8. Matusevich S. 18. Morozov D. 4. Sheremet P. 5. Zholudov V.
Substitutes
62. Baluk S. 16. Kirikovich S. (G) 19. Kovalevich K. 25. Kovsh K. 4. Kuradovets A. 77. Nikoporenok E. 97. Oreshkevich J. 22. Samuylik A.	11. Bulyga N. 12. Egorov E. 16. Gerashchenko M. (G) 3. Gorkovsky D. 20. Khachaturian V. 15. Korotonozhkin V. 22. Porshnev I. 6. Sitnikov R. 10. Volchok I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
23', 1 - 0, Vlasov A. ⚽, Grechikha M. (A),
29', 🟨,
35', 1 - 1, Morozov D. ⚽, Zholudov V. (A),
38', 1 - 2, Matusevich S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
60', 🟨,
68', 🟨,
77', 🟨,
79', 1 - 3, Volchok I. ⚽, Matusevich S. (A),
84', 1 - 4, Zholudov V. ⚽, Bondarenko I. (A),

Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 12th and 13th).

A prolonged slump in results has affected both clubs ahead of this encounter.

Minsk 2 may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Volna Pinsk has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 5:4 (averaging 1.7:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Volna Pinsk against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:3 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Volna Pinsk	30	11	5	14	45:56	-11	38
13	Minsk 2	30	10	3	17	42:58	-16	33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Volna Pinsk
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
10.10.26	Osipovichi - Volna Pinsk	1:1 ✺
02.10.26	Volna Pinsk - Lida	0:2 ✺
26.09.26	Niva Dolbizno - Volna Pinsk	4:0 ✺
19.09.26	Volna Pinsk - SKA-1938	1:3 ✺
12.09.26	Slutsk - Volna Pinsk	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLLL
- FC Minsk 2
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
11.10.26	Minsk 2 - Smorgon	0:2 ✺
04.10.26	BumProm Gomel - Minsk 2	2:1 ✺
26.09.26	Soligorsk - Minsk 2	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	Minsk 2 - Osipovichi	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	Lida - Minsk 2	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Pershaya Liga
19.06.26	Minsk 2 - Volna Pinsk	1:2
22.11.25	Volna Pinsk - Minsk 2	2:3
25.07.25	Minsk 2 - Volna Pinsk	0:1

Volna Pinsk - Minsk 2