Match Info

Pershaya Liga - Round 27

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday

Location: SDYuShOR-6 Stadium (Gomel)


	BumProm Gomel		Minsk 2

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.70	3.10
	1.88	3.75	3.10
	1.92	3.45	3.45
	2.1	3.45	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.1)	3.59 ↑ (3.45)	3.16 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BumProm Gomel
46.4%

Draw
25.1%

Minsk 2
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

26.4%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

23.3%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BumProm Gomel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Minsk 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for BumProm Gomel than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with BumProm Gomel that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minsk 2 than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Minsk 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Yarukov V. (G) 66. Absamadov S. 72. Fazylov A. 5. Kaplunov D. 20. Kazimir M. 4. Kruzhilin S. 91. Miroevskiy A. 21. Ovsyanik N. 9. Sidorenko K. (C) 95. Tychko M. 59. Zhevnerenko A.	1. Sukharenko M. (G) 13. Denisenko D. 3. Gorkovsky D. 31. Kazakov A. 17. Kindruk E. 19. Malyutin V. 8. Matusevich S. 18. Morozov D. (C) 4. Sheremet P. 10. Volchok I. 5. Zholudov V.
Substitutes
10. Drapeza V. 11. Dubrovskiy V. 93. Isachenko E. (G) 77. Latykhov D. 29. Samotoy M. 8. Zhestkin I.	16. Akritidis M. (G) 9. Bondarenko I. 7. Bulatskiy G. 11. Bulyga N. 6. Egorov E. 14. Ganchuk V. 20. Khachaturian V. 15. Khomenok A. 12. Korotonozhkin V. 22. Porshnev I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Kazimir M. ⚽, Sidorenko K. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 2 - 0, Sidorenko K. ⚽, Kazimir M. (A),
59', 🟨,
67', 2 - 1, Matusevich S. ⚽, Bondarenko I. (A),
79', (Penalty Awarded),
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 8th and 13th).

In recent outings, BumProm has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Minsk 2 is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Minsk 2 may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

BumProm is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, BumProm has recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:2 (averaging 1:1 goals per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	BumProm Gomel	27	12	5	10	52:41	11	41
13	Minsk 2	27	9	3	15	37:50	-13	30

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC BumProm Gomel
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
19.09.26	BumProm Gomel - Lida	4:0 ✺
13.09.26	Niva Dolbizno - BumProm Gomel	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	BumProm Gomel - SKA-1938	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Slutsk - BumProm Gomel	4:1 ✺
22.08.26	BumProm Gomel - Dinamo Minsk 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLLLW
- FC Minsk 2
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
26.09.26	Soligorsk - Minsk 2	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	Minsk 2 - Osipovichi	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	Lida - Minsk 2	3:2 ✺
04.09.26	Minsk 2 - Niva Dolbizno	3:4 ✺
28.08.26	SKA-1938 - Minsk 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Pershaya Liga
06.06.26	Minsk 2 - BumProm Gomel	1:1
20.09.25	Minsk 2 - BumProm Gomel	1:1

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