The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Avaí 30.5%
Draw 34.3%
Coritiba 35.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.7%
29.9%
25.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.9%
29.8%
25.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avaí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Avaí's form might have worsened.
Coritiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Coritiba's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (+14.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Avaí, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Coritiba, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Avaí - Coritiba Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Cesar Augusto (G) 63. Marcos Vinicius 95. Jonathan Costa 14. Eduardo Brock (C) 36. DG 8. Joao Vitor 58. Lucas Eduardo 10. Marquinhos Gabriel 41. Thayllon 94. Emerson Negueba 99. Cleber
1. Pedro Morisco (G) 73. Zeca 3. Maicon 55. Jacy 26. Bruno Melo 70. Wallisson 19. Gomez S. (C) 10. Josue 11. Lucas Ronier 9. Gustavo Coutinho 77. Iury Castilho
Substitutes
3. Anderson Jesus 20. Gaspar 30. Guilherme Santos 1. Igor Bohn (G) 16. Jamerson 9. Juninho 32. Leo Reis 33. Mario Sergio 2. Railan 6. Wanderson 34. Wanderson 4. Weverton
67. Benassi (G) 25. Clayson 27. de Pena C. 37. Everaldo 22. Felipe Guimaraes 8. Filipe Machado 5. Geovane 16. Joao Almeida 7. Nicolas Careca 4. Rodrigo Moledo 23. Tiago Coser 36. Vini Paulista
Coaches
Vinicius Bergantin
Mozart
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
1', Lucas Eduardo 🟨,
13', Iury Castilho 🟨,
41', 0 - 1, Lucas Ronier ⚽,
44', Cleber 🟨,
44', Eduardo Brock 🟨,
44', Cesar Augusto 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', Lucas Eduardo ↓, Jamerson ↑,
68', Wallisson ↓, Filipe Machado ↑,
68', Gustavo Coutinho ↓, Nicolas Careca ↑,
69', Lucas Ronier ↓, Clayson ↑,
71', Thayllon ↓, Leo Reis ↑,
71', Marcos Vinicius ↓, Railan ↑,
77', Bruno Melo 🟨,
78', Gomez S. ↓, Vini Paulista ↑,
80', 0 - 2, Bruno Melo ⚽, Nicolas Careca (A),
82', Emerson Negueba ↓, Juninho ↑,
82', DG ↓, Mario Sergio ↑,
85', Josue ↓, de Pena C. ↑,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avaí won 2.
Recent performances by Avaí have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Coritiba is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Avaí may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Avaí could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Avaí: Andrey
(Injury)
JP
(Yellow Cards)
Romildo Del Piage
(Injury)
There will not play in Coritiba: Alex Silva
(Injury)
Rodrigo Rodrigues
(Injury)
There are questionable in Avaí: Quaresma
(Injury)
There are questionable in Coritiba: Dellatorre
(Inactive)
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Avaí won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 10:24. (average 0.7:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Avaí won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.2:1.5).
Brazil
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Cesar Augusto (G) 
Gomez S. (C) 
Josue 
de Pena C. 
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