Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 30

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday

Location: Estádio Couto Pereira (Curitiba)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	Coritiba		Botafogo SP

	1	X	2
	1.41	3.9	9	Watch
	1.42	3.9	7.75
	1.41	4.05	8.2
	1.4	4.32	9.78
	1.45	3.83	8.53	Watch
	1.44	3.86	8.58	Watch
	1.41	4	8.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.51)	3.98 ↑ (3.9)	8.58 ↑ (7.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coritiba
65.7%

Draw
23.4%

Botafogo SP
10.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

24.2%

13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

23.7%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coritiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Botafogo SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Coritiba - Botafogo SP Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Coritiba will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1, 1st Half - Coritiba (3.96) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1.25 - Coritiba (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Coritiba (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pedro Morisco (G) 73. Zeca 3. Maicon 55. Jacy 26. Bruno Melo 70. Wallisson 25. Clayson 10. Josue 19. Gomez S. (C) 77. Iury Castilho 9. Gustavo Coutinho	1. Victor Souza (G) 2. Jeferson 3. Edson 4. Vilar 6. Risso G. 8. Matheus Barbosa 10. Marquinho 5. Gabriel Bispo 7. Dramisino A. 9. Leo Gamalho (C) 11. Jefferson Nem
Substitutes
20. Alex Silva 67. Benassi (G) 49. Dellatorre 27. de Pena C. 37. Everaldo 8. Filipe Machado 5. Geovane 16. Joao Almeida 7. Nicolas Careca 4. Rodrigo Moledo 23. Tiago Coser 36. Vini Paulista	14. Alisson Cassiano 17. Gabriel Barros 19. Guilherme Queiroz 16. Jean Victor 12. Joao Carlos (G) 18. Jonathan Cafu 20. Maciel L. 21. Matheus Regis 13. Wallison 15. Wesley Dias
Coaches
Mozart	Angeli R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Gustavo Coutinho ⚽, Iury Castilho (A),
26', Bruno Melo 🟨,
31', Matheus Barbosa 🟨,
37', 2 - 0, Iury Castilho ⚽, Bruno Melo (A),
43', Edson 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Matheus Barbosa ↓, Alisson Cassiano ↑,
46', Marquinho ↓, Wesley Dias ↑,
65', Bruno Melo ↓, Alex Silva ↑,
65', Wallisson ↓, Filipe Machado ↑,
65', Gabriel Bispo ↓, Maciel L. ↑,
65', Dramisino A. ↓, Jonathan Cafu ↑,
70', Gustavo Coutinho ↓, Dellatorre ↑,
70', Gomez S. ↓, de Pena C. ↑,
75', Jefferson Nem ↓, Matheus Regis ↑,
79', Iury Castilho ↓, Everaldo ↑,
85', Maciel L. 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).

Recent performances by Coritiba have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Botafogo SP has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Coritiba may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Coritiba is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Coritiba won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Coritiba won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coritiba
Brazilian Serie B
29.09.25	Avaí - Coritiba	0:2 ✺
25.09.25	Coritiba - Criciúma	0:2 ✺
21.09.25	América Mineiro - Coritiba	1:0 ✺
12.09.25	Coritiba - Goiás	0:0 ✺
05.09.25	Coritiba - Ferroviária	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLLTW
- Botafogo SP
Brazilian Serie B
28.09.25	Botafogo SP - Ferroviária	1:2 ✺
24.09.25	CRB Maceio - Botafogo SP	3:2 ✺
18.09.25	Botafogo SP - Operário Ferroviario	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Athletic Club - Botafogo SP	2:0 ✺
06.09.25	Botafogo SP - Athletico Paranaense	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
05.06.25	Botafogo SP - Coritiba	0:0
22.11.24	Coritiba - Botafogo SP	1:3
03.08.24	Botafogo SP - Coritiba	2:0
01.11.19	Botafogo SP - Coritiba	0:1
29.07.19	Coritiba - Botafogo SP	3:2

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