Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 29

Date: 29 September 2025, Monday

Location: Mineirão (Belo Horizonte)

Referee: Pinheiro J. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 3


	América Mineiro		Volta Redonda

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.2	4.5	Watch
	1.85	3.2	4.25
	1.99	3.3	4.59
	1.89	3.18	4.46	Watch
	1.8	3.35	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.83)	3.25 ↓ (3.38)	4.46 ↑ (4.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

América Mineiro
50%

Draw
28.9%

Volta Redonda
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

27.3%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

26.4%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

América Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Volta Redonda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volta Redonda than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

América Mineiro - Volta Redonda Predictions

Users Predictions: América Mineiro will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): América Mineiro will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gustavo (G) 18. Julio Cesar 45. Ricardo Silva (C) 3. Lucao 29. Paulinho 15. Kaua Diniz 20. Aloisio 7. Miguelito 40. Yago Souza 9. Willian Bigode 39. Arthur Sousa	33. Jefferson Paulino (G) 13. Jhonny 19. Igor Morais 15. Lucas Adell 6. Sanchez 8. Thallyson 28. Andre Luiz (C) 16. Rai 7. Joao Pedro 11. MV 23. Matheus Lucas
Substitutes
27. Cassio Meneses (G) 70. David da Hora 2. Emerson Santos 28. Fabinho 11. Heber 21. Jhosefer 26. Maguinho 42. Miqueias 10. Ortiz C. 4. Rafa Barcelos 17. Stenio 33. Yago Santos	25. Adsson 1. Avelino (G) 5. Bruno Barra 20. Chavez Cruz L. L. 3. Gabriel Pinheiro 18. Igor Maduro 22. Juninho Monteiro 99. Kayke 30. Leo Ceara 10. PK 2. Wellington Silva
Coaches
Alberto Valentim	Rogerio Correa

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Willian Bigode ⚽, Julio Cesar (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 1 - 1, Sanchez (Pen),
64', Yago Souza ↓, Fabinho ↑,
72', Rai ↓, PK ↑,
72', MV ↓, Leo Ceara ↑,
73', Paulinho ↓, Yago Santos ↑,
74', Julio Cesar ↓, Maguinho ↑,
81', 2 - 1, Willian Bigode ⚽,
84', Arthur Sousa ↓, Miqueias ↑,
84', Andre Luiz ↓, Igor Maduro ↑,
84', Aloisio ↓, Emerson Santos ↑,
84', Joao Pedro ↓, Kayke ↑,
90+2', Jhonny ↓, Adsson ↑,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, América MG is a strong favorite.

There will not play in América MG: Ale (Knee Injury) Dalbert (Injury) Fabinho (Ankle Injury) Felipe Amaral (Yellow Cards) Guilherme Pato (Injury) Heber (Injury) Maguinho (Injury) Mariano (Inactive)

There will not play in Volta Redonda: Du Fernandes (Inactive) Vitinho Lopes (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Volta Redonda: Chay (Injury) Fabricio (Inactive) Marquinhos (Inactive)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, América MG won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Last Results with these Odds

América Mineiro - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50.48%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- América Mineiro
Brazilian Serie B
25.09.25	Atlético Goianiense - América Mineiro	1:0 ✺
21.09.25	América Mineiro - Coritiba	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Paysandu - América Mineiro	0:0 ✺
07.09.25	América Mineiro - Operário Ferroviario	1:1 ✺
02.09.25	América Mineiro - Avaí	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWTTW
- Volta Redonda
Brazilian Serie B
24.09.25	Volta Redonda - Remo	2:1 ✺
20.09.25	Amazonas - Volta Redonda	1:0 ✺
12.09.25	Volta Redonda - Criciúma	0:0 ✺
05.09.25	Paysandu - Volta Redonda	1:2 ✺
31.08.25	Volta Redonda - Athletic Club	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
01.06.25	Volta Redonda - América Mineiro	1:0

Upcoming Matches