Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 30

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday


	Vorskla Poltava		Podillya Khmelnytskyi

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.5	4.65
	1.69	3.2	4.63
	1.86	3.32	4.06	Watch
	1.7	3.25	4.85	Watch
	1.81	3.12	3.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.81)	3.28 ↑ (3.12)	4.41 ↑ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vorskla Poltava
51.8%

Draw
27.6%

Podillya Khmelnytskyi
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

28.3%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

24.2%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vorskla Poltava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Podillya Khmelnytskyi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vorskla Poltava than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vorskla Poltava that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Podillya Khmelnytskyi than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Podillya Khmelnytskyi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Vorskla Poltava - Podillya Khmelnytskyi Predictions

Users Predictions: Vorskla Poltava will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lavuta K. (G) 11. Baydal A. 14. Chibueze P. 2. Dmytruk T. 21. Dvorovenko V. 22. Potskhveria I. 5. Prikhna D. (C) 43. Romanets E. 17. Semotyuk V. 99. Serdyuk A. 7. Voytsekhovskyi V.	98. Ponomarenko I. (G) 18. Azizov D. 88. Baran R. 17. Demchenko A. 7. Kvasov Y. 5. Lys N. 20. Nikolyshyn O. 27. Serbinov D. 11. Shershen V. 19. Shkinder V. (C) 77. Snizhko O.
Substitutes
8. Gorbunov V. 51. Grechko D. (G) 52. Krokhmal N. 10. Mosiyenko T. 15. Piddubniy I.	6. Bezruchuk O. 4. Herasymchuk D. 9. Perekhodko M. 2. Savchuk P. 33. Yurchuk V. (G) 22. Zayets S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Demchenko A. 🟨,
43', Dmytruk T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 0 - 1, Chibueze P. (Own goal),
59', Voytsekhovskyi V. ↓, Krokhmal N. ↑,
60', Demchenko A. ↓, Perekhodko M. ↑,
74', Baran R. ↓, Bezruchuk O. ↑,
80', Krokhmal N. 🟨,
85', Azizov D. 🟨,
85', Azizov D. ↓, Zayets S. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 1, Serdyuk A. ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Druha Liga).

Podillya is Relegated to Druha Liga

In recent matches, Vorskla has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Podillya has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Vorskla is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vorskla won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vorskla Poltava
Ukrainian Persha Liga
23.05.26	Nyva Ternopil - Vorskla Poltava	1:1 ✺
17.05.26	Vorskla Poltava - Metalist Kharkiv	1:1 ✺
09.05.26	Bukovyna Chernivtsi - Vorskla Poltava	6:0 ✺
03.05.26	Vorskla Poltava - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	0:1 ✺
26.04.26	Chernihiv - Vorskla Poltava	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 TTLLW
- Podillya Khmelnytskyi
Ukrainian Persha Liga
23.05.26	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Feniks-Mariupol	0:0 ✺
17.05.26	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Nyva Ternopil	1:2 ✺
09.05.26	Metalist Kharkiv - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	3:0 ✺
02.05.26	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Bukovyna Chernivtsi	0:2 ✺
24.04.26	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
09.11.25	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Vorskla Poltava	1:1

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