Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 29

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Ternopilsky Misky Stadion (Ternopil)


	Nyva Ternopil		Vorskla Poltava

	1	X	2
	2.62	2.92	2.72
	2.52	2.9	2.71
	2.05	3.02	3.74	Watch
	2.5	2.7	2.8
	2.43	2.9	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (1.98)	2.89 ↓ (3.2)	2.97 ↓ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nyva Ternopil
37.7%

Draw
31.6%

Vorskla Poltava
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

28.6%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

27.1%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nyva Ternopil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nyva Ternopil's form might have worsened.

Vorskla Poltava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vorskla Poltava's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nyva Ternopil than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nyva Ternopil, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vorskla Poltava than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vorskla Poltava, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Nyva Ternopil - Vorskla Poltava Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Olkhovyi I. (C) 94. Burtnyk V. 44. Davydov S. 35. Demyanchuk A. 70. Dudik A. 30. Galas T. 21. Gerega O. 11. Mykhalchuk M. 27. Mykhayliv V. 45. Napuda V. 10. Palamarchuk I.	1. Lavuta K. (G) 20. Andrushchenko M. 11. Baydal A. 14. Chibueze P. 2. Dmytruk T. 21. Dvorovenko V. (C) 22. Potskhveria I. 32. Romanenko D. 43. Romanets E. 17. Semotyuk V. 7. Voytsekhovskyi V.
Substitutes
14. Bats M. 32. Bidzinskyi B. 4. Demydenko A. 19. Lekhiv M. 7. Mudryi M. 33. Mysyk M. 96. Pach Y. 17. Pezhynskyi M. 18. Posyevkin R. 64. Romaniuk V. 23. Sharun V. (G)	51. Grechko D. (G) 52. Krokhmal N. 10. Mosiyenko T. 5. Prikhna D. 99. Serdyuk A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Palamarchuk I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', Gerega O. 🟨,
50', 1 - 1, Baydal A. (Penalty Awarded),
56', Mykhayliv V. ↓, Demydenko A. ↑,
61', Semotyuk V. ↓, Prikhna D. ↑,
61', Voytsekhovskyi V. ↓, Serdyuk A. ↑,
68', Dudik A. ↓, Pezhynskyi M. ↑,
75', Galas T. ↓, Posyevkin R. ↑,
75', Demydenko A. ↓, Mysyk M. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 14 in the zone Persha Liga (Relegation)).

Nyva T has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Vorskla is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Nyva T is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nyva T won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.5:3.5).

Including home match between the teams, Nyva T won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:5.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Nyva Ternopil	10	2	5	3	9:9	0	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nyva Ternopil
Ukrainian Persha Liga
17.05.26	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Nyva Ternopil	1:2 ✺
09.05.26	Nyva Ternopil - Feniks-Mariupol	0:3 ✺
02.05.26	Nyva Ternopil - Metalist Kharkiv	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	Bukovyna Chernivtsi - Nyva Ternopil	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Nyva Ternopil - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLWLT
- Vorskla Poltava
Ukrainian Persha Liga
17.05.26	Vorskla Poltava - Metalist Kharkiv	1:1 ✺
09.05.26	Bukovyna Chernivtsi - Vorskla Poltava	6:0 ✺
03.05.26	Vorskla Poltava - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	0:1 ✺
26.04.26	Chernihiv - Vorskla Poltava	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Vorskla Poltava - Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
02.11.25	Vorskla Poltava - Nyva Ternopil	2:0
Ukrainian Cup
23.08.14	Nyva Ternopil - Vorskla Poltava	1:5

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