Match Info

CROATIA: PRVA NL - ROUND 25

Date: 7 April 2023, Friday


	Vukovar 91		Kustošija

	1	X	2
	1.36	4	8.5
	1.35	4.2	7.75
	1.38	4.48	8.29
	1.33	4.45	9.1	Watch
	1.4	4	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.55)	4.23 ↑ (3.6)	8.09 ↑ (5.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vukovar 91
67.1%

Draw
21.6%

Kustošija
11.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

25%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60%

24.2%

16.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vukovar 91 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vukovar 91's performance.

Kustošija has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kustošija might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vukovar 91 than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vukovar 91 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kustošija than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kustošija could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	28.6%	14.3%

Vukovar 91 - Kustošija Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Vukovar 91 will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Kustošija will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Vukovar '91 is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Kustošija is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Vukovar '91 is absolute favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Vukovar '91 won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Vukovar '91 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HNK Vukovar 91
Croatian Prva NL
02.04.23	Croatia Zmijavci - Vukovar 91	2:1 ✺
25.03.23	Vukovar 91 - Jarun Zagreb	4:1 ✺
18.03.23	Orijent - Vukovar 91	0:0 ✺
11.03.23	Vukovar 91 - Solin	4:0 ✺
05.03.23	Vukovar 91 - Rudeš	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWTWW
- NK Kustošija
Croatian Prva NL
31.03.23	Kustošija - Cibalia	1:1 ✺
26.03.23	Solin - Kustošija	0:1 ✺
18.03.23	Bijelo Brdo - Kustošija	0:1 ✺
13.03.23	Kustošija - Jarun Zagreb	1:2 ✺
08.03.23	Kustošija - Orijent	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Prva NL
18.02.23	Vukovar 91 - Kustošija	3:0
22.09.22	Kustošija - Vukovar 91	0:0

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