Match Info

HNL - Round 23

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday

Location: Stadion Gradski vrt (Osijek)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Vukovar 91		Slaven Belupo

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.2	2.6
	2.75	3.3	2.45
	2.58	3.25	2.62
	2.56	3.2	2.9
	2.58	3.37	2.63	Watch
	2.45	3.1	2.75
	2.53	3.4	2.76	Watch
	2.62	3.14	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↓ (2.8)	3.25 ↓ (3.48)	2.67 ↑ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vukovar 91
36.4%

Draw
28.7%

Slaven Belupo
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

26.3%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

24.9%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vukovar 91 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Slaven Belupo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Slaven Belupo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vukovar 91 than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vukovar 91 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slaven Belupo than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Slaven Belupo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	18.2%	18.2%

Vukovar 91 - Slaven Belupo Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Vukovar 91 will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Slaven Belupo will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vukovar 91: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vukovar 91 (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Slaven Belupo (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Vukovar 91 (votes: 1 - 50%). Slaven Belupo (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Pintol D. (G) 16. Pavicic K. 34. Tadic M. 14. Zivkovic M. 7. Calhanoglu K. 13. Caic V. 20. Cabrajic K. 28. Banovec L. 21. Puljic J. 10. Gonzalez R. (C) 11. Kulusic L.	31. Hadzikic O. (G) 18. Kruselj F. 6. Bozic T. (C) 2. Medjimorec V. 35. Zuta L. 15. Cubelic I. 21. Crepulja L. 11. Mitrovic J. 17. Mazar F. 3. Jakir A. 7. Dabro M.
Substitutes
39. Bugas P. 1. Bulat M. (G) 27. Butic S. 26. Elez J. 35. Gurlica J. 23. Jergovic D. 19. Jurilj A. 33. Klanac L. 25. Pajvancic N. 50. Spoljaric J. 91. Ticinovic M. 5. Vlasenko N.	24. Bosnjak L. 32. Covic I. (G) 27. Grgic A. 33. Isasegi K. 22. Jovic F. 23. Lepinjica I. 12. Markovic A. (G) 19. Qestaj E. 45. Ridjan E.
Coaches
Cabraja S.	Gregurina M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Zuta L. ⚽, Crepulja L. (A),
14', Cubelic I. 🟨,
30', Calhanoglu K. 🟨,
36', 0 - 2, Mitrovic J. ⚽, Crepulja L. (A),
41', 1 - 2, Puljic J. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Zivkovic M. ↓, Elez J. ↑,
46', Calhanoglu K. ↓, Ticinovic M. ↑,
63', Mazar F. ↓, Lepinjica I. ↑,
65', Cabrajic K. 🟨,
68', Cabrajic K. ↓, Spoljaric J. ↑,
74', Jakir A. ↓, Grgic A. ↑,
79', Tadic M. 🟨,
82', 2 - 2, Puljic J. (Penalty Awarded),
83', Mitrovic J. ↓, Jovic F. ↑,
88', Kulusic L. ↓, Gurlica J. ↑,
89', Elez J. 🟨,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Stadion HNK Cibalia.

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 9 and 6).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Vukovar 91: Djakovic A. (Injury)

There will not play in Slaven Belupo: Bozic I. (Injury) Caimacov M. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Vukovar 91: Biljan J. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Slaven Belupo: Sivalec G. (Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Vukovar 91 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 1.3:2.7).

Including home match between the teams, Vukovar 91 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Slaven Belupo	8	2	1	5	7:16	-9	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HNK Vukovar 91
Croatian HNL
15.02.26	Gorica - Vukovar 91	0:0 ✺
07.02.26	Vukovar 91 - Istra 1961	3:2 ✺
02.02.26	Dinamo Zagreb - Vukovar 91	3:1 ✺
24.01.26	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Vukovar 91	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
17.01.26	Vukovar 91 - Velež Mostar	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWLLL
- NK Slaven Belupo
Croatian HNL
13.02.26	Slaven Belupo - Lokomotiva Zagreb	2:0 ✺
07.02.26	Hajduk Split - Slaven Belupo	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	Slaven Belupo - Varaždin	0:2 ✺
24.01.26	Rijeka - Slaven Belupo	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
16.01.26	Slaven Belupo - Lokomotiva Zagreb	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
13.01.26	Slaven Belupo - Vukovar 91	2:2
Croatian HNL
21.11.25	Slaven Belupo - Vukovar 91	4:1
30.08.25	Vukovar 91 - Slaven Belupo	1:2

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