Match Info

HNL - Round 22

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Gradski stadion Velika Gorica (Velika Gorica)

Referee: Kolaric P. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Croatia	HRT 2, HRTi, MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go


	Gorica		Vukovar 91

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.4	4
	1.92	3.4	3.75
	1.96	3.38	4.34
	1.85	3.67	3.98	Watch
	1.91	3.25	3.8
	1.89	3.34	4.1	Watch
	1.8	3.5	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.82)	3.42 ↓ (3.78)	4.02 ↑ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gorica
49.6%

Draw
27.3%

Vukovar 91
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

24.7%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

24.1%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gorica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Vukovar 91 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gorica than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vukovar 91 than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Gorica - Vukovar 91 Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Gorica will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Vukovar 91 will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gorica: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gorica (votes: 1 - 50%). Vukovar 91 (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Gorica (2.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Gorica (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Vukovar 91 (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. Matijas D. (G) 22. Trontelj Z. 45. Peric S. 4. Filipovic J. (C) 19. Cabraja M. 36. Kavelj A. 8. Pozo I. 18. Fiolic I. 7. Bakic O. 25. Bogojevic B. 9. Cuic F.	22. Pintol D. (G) 16. Pavicic K. 34. Tadic M. 14. Zivkovic M. 7. Calhanoglu K. 13. Caic V. 35. Gurlica J. 91. Ticinovic M. 21. Puljic J. (C) 28. Banovec L. 11. Kulusic L.
Substitutes
64. Epailly T. 50. Erceg A. 99. Gashi M. 35. Josic Z. 14. Kucis S. 5. Les M. 24. Pavicic D. 1. Sahinovic M. (G) 11. Sule W. 20. Vrzic L. 30. Zarkov D. (G)	39. Bugas P. 1. Bulat M. (G) 98. Butic S. 26. Elez J. 10. Gonzalez R. 24. Jergovic D. 19. Jurilj A. 9. Klanac L. 25. Pajvancic N. 50. Spoljaric J. 99. Vlasenko N.
Coaches
Carevic M.	Cabraja S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kulusic L. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
46', Fiolic I. ↓, Pavicic D. ↑,
48', Bogojevic B. 🟨,
64', Banovec L. ↓, Butic S. ↑,
64', Ticinovic M. ↓, Jurilj A. ↑,
68', Bakic O. ↓, Vrzic L. ↑,
68', Cuic F. ↓, Sule W. ↑,
85', Gonzalez R. 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 8 and 9).

Recent performances by Gorica have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Vukovar 91 is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Vukovar 91 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Gorica has had a series of home games.

In this match, Gorica is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Gorica: Prsir J. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Vukovar 91: Djakovic A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Gorica: Durakovic E. (Inactive) Filipovic J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Vukovar 91: Biljan J. (Inactive) Caic V. (Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Gorica won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Gorica won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Gorica	9	1	2	6	6:14	-8	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HNK Gorica
Croatian HNL
06.02.26	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Gorica	3:0 ✺
31.01.26	Gorica - Hajduk Split	1:0 ✺
26.01.26	Gorica - Varaždin	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
17.01.26	Gorica - Zalaegerszegi TE	1:0 ✺
13.01.26	Gorica - Radomlje	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LWLWW
- HNK Vukovar 91
Croatian HNL
07.02.26	Vukovar 91 - Istra 1961	3:2 ✺
02.02.26	Dinamo Zagreb - Vukovar 91	3:1 ✺
24.01.26	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Vukovar 91	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
17.01.26	Vukovar 91 - Velež Mostar	1:2 ✺
13.01.26	Slaven Belupo - Vukovar 91	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Croatian HNL
07.11.25	Gorica - Vukovar 91	1:1
22.08.25	Vukovar 91 - Gorica	2:2

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