Match Info

HNL - Round 35

Date: 15 May 2026, Friday

Location: Stadion Gradski vrt (Osijek)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Croatia	MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Slovenia	Arena Sport 4


	Vukovar 91		Varaždin

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.4	1.83
	3.6	3.5	1.92
	3.85	3.66	1.97
	3.72	3.66	1.92	Watch
	3.7	3.4	1.91
	3.66	3.64	1.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.69 ↑ (3.49)	3.54 ↑ (3.38)	1.91 ↓ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vukovar 91
25.2%

Draw
26.2%

Varaždin
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

27.6%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

26.6%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vukovar 91 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Varaždin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vukovar 91 than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varaždin than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	11.1%	22.2%

Vukovar 91 - Varaždin Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Vukovar 91 will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Varaždin will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vukovar 91: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vukovar 91 (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Vukovar 91 (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Vukovar 91 (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
42. Djakovic A. (G) 8. Bosec A. 5. Vlasenko N. 13. Caic V. 20. Cabrajic K. 35. Gurlica J. 77. Shabani E. 27. Butic S. 10. Gonzalez R. (C) 28. Banovec L. 21. Puljic J.	1. Zelenika O. (C) 23. Maglica F. 2. Lesjak S. 14. Puncec R. 25. Borsic A. 6. Puclin D. 8. Duvnjak T. 16. Tepsic N. 22. Mamic L. 38. Tavares I. 10. Latkovic A.
Substitutes
6. Biljan J. 39. Bugas P. 1. Bulat M. (G) 7. Calhanoglu K. 33. Klanac L. 25. Pajvancic N. 4. Sabanovic H. 50. Spoljaric J. 34. Tadic M. 23. Vinkovic D.	28. Canjuga I. 15. Ilinkovic S. 9. Juric S. 24. Marina M. 18. Paizinho 30. Posinkovic L. 20. Sikosek G. 33. Silic J. (G)
Coaches
Stipic T.	Safaric N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+1', 0 - 1, Puclin D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Puncec R. 🟨,
63', Mamic L. ↓, Canjuga I. ↑,
63', Puclin D. ↓, Ilinkovic S. ↑,
68', Ilinkovic S. ↓, Marina M. ↑,
70', Shabani E. 🟨,
83', Banovec L. ↓, Vinkovic D. ↑,
83', Gurlica J. ↓, Pajvancic N. ↑,
84', Latkovic A. 🟨,
89', Latkovic A. ↓, Juric S. ↑,
90+3', 0 - 2, Juric S. ⚽, Duvnjak T. (A),

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Varaždin could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Vukovar 91: Pavicic K. (Knee Injury) Pintol D. (Inactive) Zivkovic M. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Varaždin: Skaricic L. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Varaždin: Barac M. (Inactive)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Vukovar 91 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Vukovar 91 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Varazdin	8	4	3	1	13:7	6	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HNK Vukovar 91
Croatian HNL
08.05.26	Rijeka - Vukovar 91	3:0 ✺
02.05.26	Vukovar 91 - Osijek	1:0 ✺
25.04.26	Slaven Belupo - Vukovar 91	2:2 ✺
22.04.26	Vukovar 91 - Gorica	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Istra 1961 - Vukovar 91	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 LWTLW
- NK Varaždin
Croatian HNL
09.05.26	Varaždin - Lokomotiva Zagreb	1:1 ✺
03.05.26	Hajduk Split - Varaždin	3:1 ✺
26.04.26	Dinamo Zagreb - Varaždin	2:1 ✺
22.04.26	Varaždin - Rijeka	1:0 ✺
17.04.26	Osijek - Varaždin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Croatian HNL
13.03.26	Varaždin - Vukovar 91	2:0
12.12.25	Vukovar 91 - Varaždin	2:0
26.09.25	Varaždin - Vukovar 91	2:1

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