Match Info

HNL - Round 30

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion Aldo Drosina (Pula) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Culina A. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:45	Arena Sport 3
Croatia	18:45	HRT 2, HRTi, MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go


	Istra 1961		Vukovar 91

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.3	3.75
	1.95	3.45	3.6
	1.95	3.54	3.99
	1.98	3.66	3.5	Watch
	1.91	3.25	3.8
	1.94	3.5	3.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.93)	3.45 ↑ (3.33)	3.77 ↑ (3.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Istra 1961
48.3%

Draw
27%

Vukovar 91
24.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.7%

27.6%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

23.3%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Istra 1961 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

The chances for Vukovar 91 have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Istra 1961 than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Istra 1961 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vukovar 91 than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	25%	12.5%

Istra 1961 - Vukovar 91 Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Istra 1961 will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Vukovar 91 will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Istra 1961: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kolic F. (G) 97. Kadusic A. 24. Taraba F. 38. Kumar R. 26. Heister M. 23. Stulac L. 8. Mauric A. 17. Frederiksen E. 10. Loncar S. 7. Rozic V. 9. Prevljak S. (C)	1. Bulat M. (G) 14. Zivkovic M. 5. Vlasenko N. 13. Caic V. 20. Cabrajic K. 35. Gurlica J. 77. Shabani E. 27. Butic S. 10. Gonzalez R. (C) 28. Banovec L. 21. Puljic J.
Substitutes
77. Agada C. 20. Ahmeti D. 25. Albarracin G. 11. Gorican S. 44. Hrvatin R. 16. Miettinen S. 3. Nasraoui M. 29. Obando A. 40. Paus-Kunst J. (G) 15. Sama E. 13. Sepic N.	6. Biljan J. 39. Bugas P. 7. Calhanoglu K. 12. Damjanovic D. (G) 26. Elez J. 19. Jurilj A. 33. Klanac L. 11. Kulusic L. 24. Pajvancic N. 50. Spoljaric J.
Coaches
Riera O.	Stipic T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 1 - 0, Rozic V. ⚽, Loncar S. (A),
31', Puljic J. 🟨,
36', 1 - 1, Butic S. ⚽, Zivkovic M. (A),
45', Caic V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', Loncar S. 🟨,
67', Frederiksen E. ↓, Gorican S. ↑,
75', 1 - 2, Puljic J. (Penalty Awarded),
78', Banovec L. ↓, Kulusic L. ↑,
81', Stulac L. ↓, Albarracin G. ↑,
81', Rozic V. ↓, Obando A. ↑,
81', Kulusic L. 🟨,
87', Butic S. ↓, Jurilj A. ↑,
90+6', Cabrajic K. ↓, Calhanoglu K. ↑,
90+7', Bulat M. 🟨,
90+18', Obando A. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Prva NL).

Istra 1961 has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Vukovar 91 has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Vukovar 91 has had a series of home games.

Istra 1961 could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Istra 1961: Kumar R. (Inactive) Radosevic J. (Inactive)

There will not play in Vukovar 91: Kulusic L. (Inactive) Pavicic K. (Knee Injury) Pintol D. (Inactive) Tadic M. (Yellow Cards)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Istra 1961 won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Istra 1961 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Istra 1961	11	3	4	4	19:18	1	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Istra 1961
Croatian HNL
11.04.26	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Istra 1961	2:0 ✺
07.04.26	Istra 1961 - Hajduk Split	1:3 ✺
20.03.26	Istra 1961 - Varaždin	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Rijeka - Istra 1961	0:2 ✺
06.03.26	Istra 1961 - Osijek	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 LLWWL
- HNK Vukovar 91
Croatian HNL
13.04.26	Vukovar 91 - Dinamo Zagreb	1:4 ✺
07.04.26	Vukovar 91 - Lokomotiva Zagreb	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Vukovar 91 - Hajduk Split	0:6 ✺
13.03.26	Varaždin - Vukovar 91	2:0 ✺
08.03.26	Vukovar 91 - Rijeka	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Croatian HNL
07.02.26	Vukovar 91 - Istra 1961	3:2
01.11.25	Istra 1961 - Vukovar 91	1:1
15.08.25	Vukovar 91 - Istra 1961	1:1

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