Match Info

Date: 28 November 2020, Saturday


	Värnamo		Assyriska Turabdin IK

	1	X	2
	1.72	4.3	4.07
	1.7	3.8	4.2
	1.72	3.8	4.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.53)	3.97 ↓ (4.52)	4.13 ↓ (4.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Värnamo
54.1%

Draw
23.4%

Assyriska Turabdin IK
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

20.5%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

12.8%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Värnamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Värnamo's form might have worsened.

Assyriska Turabdin IK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Värnamo than the current prediction. (-16.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Värnamo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Assyriska Turabdin IK than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Assyriska Turabdin IK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion to Superettan and 5).

Värnamo is Confirmed as champions, Qualified for Superettan

Värnamo is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Assyriska IK is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Assyriska IK have a series of home games.

In this match Värnamo is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Värnamo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Värnamo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Värnamo
Swedish Division 1 Södra
21.11.20	Lindome - Värnamo	1:1 ✺
15.11.20	Värnamo - Landskrona	0:0 ✺
07.11.20	Utsikten - Värnamo	2:1 ✺
31.10.20	Lunds - Värnamo	3:1 ✺
25.10.20	Värnamo - Oskarshamn	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TTLLL
- Assyriska Turabdin IK
Swedish Division 1 Södra
21.11.20	Assyriska Turabdin IK - Landskrona	2:1 ✺
14.11.20	Assyriska Turabdin IK - Eskilsminne	4:2 ✺
07.11.20	Lindome - Assyriska Turabdin IK	2:1 ✺
31.10.20	Assyriska Turabdin IK - Trollhättan	5:2 ✺
24.10.20	Assyriska Turabdin IK - Torn	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Södra
05.07.20	Assyriska Turabdin IK - Värnamo	2:0
20.10.19	Värnamo - Assyriska Turabdin IK	0:1
28.06.19	Assyriska Turabdin IK - Värnamo	1:1
Svenska Cupen
02.03.19	Värnamo - Assyriska Turabdin IK	3:4

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