Match Info

Eliteserien - Round 14

Date: 20 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Intility Arena (Oslo)

Referee: Hagenes K. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play
World	Onefootball


	Vålerenga		Haugesund

	1	X	2
	1.36	5	6.5	Watch
	1.33	5.25	8
	1.37	5.3	7.1	Watch
	1.39	5.58	7.53
	1.36	5.03	7.57	Watch
	1.33	5	8
	1.38	5.34	7.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↑ (1.33)	5.21 ↓ (5.43)	7.44 ↓ (8.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vålerenga
69.3%

Draw
18.1%

Haugesund
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.4%

17.5%

11.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

12%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vålerenga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Haugesund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vålerenga than the current prediction. (-20.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vålerenga that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haugesund than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	11.1%	5.6%

Vålerenga - Haugesund Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Vålerenga (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

EH +2 - Haugesund (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Vålerenga will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.11% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Vålerenga (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Haugesund (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Storevik J. (G) 6. Hedenstad V. 4. Olsen A. 5. Tshiembe K. 27. Vinicius Nogueira 8. Bjordal H. (C) 29. Ambina F. 10. Lange C. 26. Thorvaldsen F. 17. Grundetjern M. 24. Strand P.	12. Fauskanger E. (G) 2. Niyukuri C. 4. Fischer M. 55. Dia M. 42. Bondhus A. 10. Nyhammer T. 16. Leite B. (C) 6. Bizoza P. 37. Innvaer S. 29. Diarra S. 8. Konradsen M.
Substitutes
80. Brajanac M. 15. Hagen E. 55. Jarl S. 7. Ofkir M. 23. Pallas N. 9. Rijks M. 3. Sjatil H. 21. Sjoeng M. (G) 11. Sorensen E.	40. Grindhaug A. 25. Hope M. 3. Krusnell O. 5. Kukleci I. 7. Rohd E. 20. Seone I. 38. Torkildsen J. (G)
Coaches
Bakke G.	Korkeakunnas T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Bondhus A. ↓, Krusnell O. ↑,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
57', Nyhammer T. 🟨,
63', Leite B. 🟨,
64', 1 - 0, Ambina F. ⚽,
70', Innvaer S. ↓, Rohd E. ↑,
70', Konradsen M. ↓, Seone I. ↑,
70', Niyukuri C. ↓, Hope M. ↑,
71', Hedenstad V. ↓, Sjatil H. ↑,
77', Dia M. 🟨,
77', Grundetjern M. ↓, Brajanac M. ↑,
78', Strand P. ↓, Sorensen E. ↑,
78', Thorvaldsen F. ↓, Ofkir M. ↑,
83', Leite B. ↓, Kukleci I. ↑,
84', 2 - 0, Sorensen E. ⚽, Bjordal H. (A),
87', Bjordal H. ↓, Hagen E. ↑,
90+1', 3 - 0, Sorensen E. ⚽,
90+7', Brajanac M. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vålerenga won 2.

Vålerenga is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Haugesund has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Haugesund may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Vålerenga is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Vålerenga: Bully O. (Knock)

There will not play in Haugesund: Camara I. (Inactive) Espejord R. (Thigh Injury) Samuelsen M. (Inactive) Solheim V. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Vålerenga: Ambina F. (Groin Injury) Sjovold S. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Haugesund: Niyukuri C. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vålerenga won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 32:24. (average 1.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Vålerenga won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:9. (average 1.8:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vålerenga Fotball
Norwegian Eliteserien
13.07.25	Bryne - Vålerenga	1:0 ✺
05.07.25	Vålerenga - Fredrikstad	1:1 ✺
29.06.25	Strømsgodset - Vålerenga	0:2 ✺
22.06.25	Vålerenga - Molde	2:3 ✺
31.05.25	Tromsø - Vålerenga	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTWLL
- FK Haugesund
Norwegian Eliteserien
13.07.25	Haugesund - KFUM-Kameratene Oslo	0:2 ✺
06.07.25	Sarpsborg 08 - Haugesund	3:1 ✺
29.06.25	Haugesund - Kristiansund	0:0 ✺
22.06.25	Sandefjord - Haugesund	4:0 ✺
01.06.25	Haugesund - Bodø Glimt	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
13.08.23	Vålerenga - Haugesund	1:1
13.05.23	Haugesund - Vålerenga	1:1
06.11.22	Haugesund - Vålerenga	1:1
10.04.22	Vålerenga - Haugesund	2:1
24.10.21	Vålerenga - Haugesund	2:1
18.07.21	Haugesund - Vålerenga	3:1
29.08.20	Haugesund - Vålerenga	2:1

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