Match Info

Date: 29 January 2021, Friday


	Würzburger Kickers		Fortuna Düsseldorf

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.8	1.7	Watch
	4.75	3.9	1.72	Watch
	4.5	3.8	1.73
	4.6	3.75	1.71
	4.78	4.05	1.74
	4.5	3.7	1.73
	4.8	3.92	1.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.67 ↑ (4.47)	3.85 ↑ (3.75)	1.72 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Würzburger Kickers
20.3%

Draw
24.6%

Fortuna Düsseldorf
55.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.1%

25.1%

53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.5%

19.6%

69%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Würzburger Kickers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Fortuna Düsseldorf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Würzburger Kickers than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf than the current prediction. (+13.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fortuna Düsseldorf could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.1%	4.5%	83.3%

Würzburger Kickers - Fortuna Düsseldorf Predictions

Users Predictions: Fortuna Düsseldorf will win (55 of 66 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.34% – 92.32%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation to 3. Liga and 5).

Würzburger Kickers has a good chance of relegated (86%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Fortuna has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of promoted (31%), has a small chance of win league (9%).

Recent matches Würzburger Kickers is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fortuna is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Fortuna is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Würzburger Kickers won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Würzburger Kickers won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Würzburger Kickers
German 2 Bundesliga
26.01.21	Erzgebirge Aue - Würzburger Kickers	2:1 ✺
23.01.21	Paderborn - Würzburger Kickers	1:0 ✺
15.01.21	Würzburger Kickers - Eintracht Braunschweig	0:0 ✺
09.01.21	Osnabrück - Würzburger Kickers	2:3 ✺
06.01.21	Würzburger Kickers - St. Pauli	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LLTWT
- Fortuna Düsseldorf
German 2 Bundesliga
26.01.21	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Hamburger SV	0:0 ✺
22.01.21	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Greuther Fürth	3:3 ✺
16.01.21	Erzgebirge Aue - Fortuna Düsseldorf	0:3 ✺
11.01.21	Eintracht Braunschweig - Fortuna Düsseldorf	0:0 ✺
04.01.21	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Paderborn	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
26.09.20	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Würzburger Kickers	1:0
06.05.17	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Würzburger Kickers	1:1
04.12.16	Würzburger Kickers - Fortuna Düsseldorf	0:0
German DFB Pokal
17.08.14	Würzburger Kickers - Fortuna Düsseldorf	3:2 ET

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