Match Info

ENGLAND: League Two - Round 22

Date: 26 December 2024, Thursday

Location: Bescot Stadium (Walsall)

Referee: Mackey O. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Walsall		Doncaster Rovers

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.3	3.25	Watch
	2.2	3.3	3.2
	2.25	3.3	3.2	Watch
	2.22	3.32	3.4
	2.18	3.33	3.28	Watch
	2.25	3.3	3.25
	2.14	3.45	3.24	Watch
	2.25	3.3	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.29)	3.33 ↓ (3.41)	3.25 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Walsall
42.7%

Draw
28.3%

Doncaster Rovers
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

27.6%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

27.3%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Walsall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Doncaster Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Walsall than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	57.1%	9.5%

Walsall - Doncaster Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Walsall will win (votes: 7 - 35%). Doncaster will win (votes: 1 - 5%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 38.5% – 81.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Simkin T. (G) 26. Okagbue D. 24. Williams H. 21. Allen T. 2. Barrett C. 22. Jellis J. 25. Stirk R. 8. Lakin C. 3. Gordon L. 9. Matt J. (C) 7. Lowe N.	19. Sharman-Lowe T. (G) 34. Emmanuel J. 5. Olowu J. 25. McGrath J. 27. Fleming B. 17. Bailey O. (C) 22. Kelly P. 7. Molyneux L. 8. Broadbent G. 14. Sharp B. 20. Ironside J.
Substitutes
37. Adomah A. 5. Daniels D. 17. Earing J. 12. Hornby S. (G) 39. Johnson D. 4. McEntee O. 30. Weir E.	4. Anderson T. 15. Clifton H. 33. Close B. 11. Gibson J. 21. Hurst K. 1. Lawlor I. (G) 23. Senior J.
Coaches
Sadler M. J.	McCann G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Fleming B. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', 1 - 0, Lowe N. ⚽, Barrett C. (A),
61', Barrett C. 🟨,
73', Molyneux L. ↓, Hurst K. ↑,
73', Fleming B. ↓, Senior J. ↑,
73', Kelly P. ↓, Clifton H. ↑,
79', 2 - 0, Williams H. ⚽, Jellis J. (A),
80', Broadbent G. ↓, Gibson J. ↑,
82', Matt J. ↓, Adomah A. ↑,
83', Jellis J. ↓, McEntee O. ↑,
88', Gordon L. 🟨,
90', Lakin C. ↓, Earing J. ↑,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Walsall won 3.

Walsall in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Doncaster is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Walsall will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Walsall won 11 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 28:16 (average 1.9:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Walsall won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:9 (average 1.9:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Walsall FC
English League Two
21.12.24	Harrogate Town - Walsall	0:2 ✺
14.12.24	Walsall - Barrow	1:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
10.12.24	Walsall - Reading	2:1 penalties ✺
English League Two
07.12.24	Port Vale - Walsall	0:1 ✺
03.12.24	Walsall - Notts County	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWWWW
- Doncaster Rovers
English League Two
21.12.24	Doncaster Rovers - Tranmere Rovers	3:1 ✺
14.12.24	AFC Wimbledon - Doncaster Rovers	1:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
10.12.24	Doncaster Rovers - Port Vale	0:1 ✺
English League Two
07.12.24	Doncaster Rovers - Cheltenham Town	2:2 ✺
04.12.24	Fleetwood Town - Doncaster Rovers	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
09.04.24	Doncaster Rovers - Walsall	2:1
02.03.24	Walsall - Doncaster Rovers	3:1
08.05.23	Walsall - Doncaster Rovers	2:1
02.12.22	Doncaster Rovers - Walsall	0:2
English League Cup
10.08.21	Walsall - Doncaster Rovers	0:1 penalties
English League One
30.03.19	Doncaster Rovers - Walsall	3:1
15.09.18	Walsall - Doncaster Rovers	1:4

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