Match Info

ENGLAND: League Two - Round 19

Date: 7 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Vale Park (Stoke on Trent)

Referee: Speedie B. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Port Vale		Walsall

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.25	2.6	Watch
	2.75	3.1	2.55
	2.85	3.1	2.6	Watch
	2.87	3.1	2.67
	2.78	3.07	2.63	Watch
	2.75	3.1	2.5
	2.73	3.24	2.53	Watch
	2.85	3.1	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.42)	3.13 ↓ (3.42)	2.59 ↓ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Port Vale
33.7%

Draw
30%

Walsall
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

27.3%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

28.6%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Walsall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Port Vale, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Walsall than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Port Vale - Walsall Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Port Vale will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Walsall will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ripley C. (G) 20. Sang T. 22. Debrah J. 5. Hall C. (C) 27. Cover B. 18. Croasdale R. 45. Harper R. 42. Hart S. 10. Chislett E. 26. Richards R. 11. Curtis R.	1. Simkin T. (G) 26. Okagbue D. 24. Williams H. 21. Allen T. 2. Barrett C. 20. Hall G. 25. Stirk R. 8. Lakin C. 3. Gordon L. 9. Matt J. (C) 7. Lowe N.
Substitutes
13. Amos B. (G) 7. Byers G. 32. Hackford A. 4. Heneghan B. 24. Kyle John 17. Paton R. 9. Stockley J.	37. Adomah A. 5. Daniels D. 17. Earing J. 12. Hornby S. (G) 39. Johnson D. 4. McEntee O. 30. Weir E.
Coaches
Moore D.	Sadler M. J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', 0 - 1, Matt J. ⚽,
56', Barrett C. 🟨,
59', Okagbue D. 🟨,
63', Cover B. ↓, Stockley J. ↑,
63', Chislett E. ↓, Paton R. ↑,
69', Croasdale R. ↓, Byers G. ↑,
78', Richards R. ↓, Hackford A. ↑,
78', Harper R. ↓, Kyle John ↑,
79', Matt J. ↓, Adomah A. ↑,
80', Gordon L. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Port Vale won 0.

Recent matches Port Vale is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Walsall is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Walsall could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Walsall have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Port Vale won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 18:27 (average 1.1:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Port Vale won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 4:14 (average 0.5:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Port Vale
English League Two
03.12.24	Cheltenham Town - Port Vale	1:1 ✺
25.11.24	Port Vale - Crewe Alexandra	1:1 ✺
16.11.24	Morecambe - Port Vale	0:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
12.11.24	Port Vale - Wrexham	2:1 penalties ✺
English League Two
09.11.24	Gillingham - Port Vale	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TTWWL
- Walsall FC
English League Two
03.12.24	Walsall - Notts County	3:2 ✺
English FA Cup
30.11.24	Walsall - Charlton Athletic	0:4 ✺
English League Two
26.11.24	Walsall - Bromley	2:2 ✺
23.11.24	AFC Wimbledon - Walsall	0:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
12.11.24	Walsall - Shrewsbury Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
23.04.22	Walsall - Port Vale	2:0
23.11.21	Port Vale - Walsall	0:1
23.01.21	Port Vale - Walsall	1:3
19.12.20	Walsall - Port Vale	4:3
22.02.20	Walsall - Port Vale	2:2
07.12.19	Port Vale - Walsall	0:1
English EFL Trophy
13.11.18	Walsall - Port Vale	1:2

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