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Current Win Probability
AFC Wimbledon 30.4%
Draw 27.6%
Doncaster Rovers 42.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.5%
27.7%
34.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.8%
26.8%
33.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AFC Wimbledon's form might have worsened.
Doncaster Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Doncaster Rovers's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AFC Wimbledon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Doncaster Rovers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
AFC Wimbledon - Doncaster Rovers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
39. Bursik J. (G) 33. Ogundere I. 15. Simmonds F. 6. Johnson R. (C) 3. Seddon S. 5. Harrison O. 12. Smith A. 29. Sasu A. 8. Maycock C. 21. Hippolyte M. 9. Stockley J.
1. Simkin T. (G) 3. Husband J. 5. Pearson M. 22. Gotts R. 12. Byrne N. 11. Ayinde L. 4. Bailey O. (C) 23. Senior J. 8. Broadbent G. 10. May A. 9. Hanlan B.
Substitutes
22. Horan R. 18. McCoy-Splatt D. 20. McDonnell J. (G) 19. McNeilly D. 10. Nelson Z. 31. Richards D. 17. Yiadom A.
42. Clarke J. (G) 27. Grehan S. 21. Hutchinson I. 25. McCann B. 6. McGrath J. 7. O'Reilly T. 19. Thomas J.
Coaches
Jackson J.
McCann G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Pearson M. ↓, Grehan S. ↑,
27', Stockley J. 🟨,
31', Ayinde L. 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Hippolyte M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Broadbent G. ↓, Hutchinson I. ↑,
64', Harrison O. ↓, Nelson Z. ↑,
64', Sasu A. ↓, McNeilly D. ↑,
65', Ayinde L. ↓, Thomas J. ↑,
65', Husband J. ↓, McCann B. ↑,
70', Simmonds F. ↓, Yiadom A. ↑,
76', Bailey O. 🟨,
84', Hippolyte M. 🟨,
90+4', Simkin T. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 2.
Recent performances by Wimbledon have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Doncaster's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Doncaster may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Doncaster has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Wimbledon: Cornick H.
(Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Doncaster: Collins J.
(Knee Injury)
Nixon T.
(Inactive)
Okoronkwo F.
(Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in Wimbledon: Browne M.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Doncaster: Sterry J.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:21. (average 1.2:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Wimbledon won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:9. (average 1.6:0.9).
Outrights of English League One for now
Doncaster: 1.24% AFC Wimbledon: 0.63%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
11
AFC Wimbledon
9
3
3
3
7:10
-3
12
16
Doncaster
8
2
3
3
9:9
0
9
Last Results with these Odds
AFC Wimbledon - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 37.53%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Doncaster Rovers - the odds 2.69 are the expected chance of winning is 34.74%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Bursik J. (G) 
Johnson R. (C) 
Sasu A. 
Hippolyte M. 
Byrne N. 
McCoy-Splatt D. 
Yiadom A. 
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