Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 22

Date: 27 January 2026, Tuesday


	Walton & Hersham		Gloucester City

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.85	3.85
	1.76	3.88	3.85
	1.73	4.23	3.93	Watch
	1.7	3.6	3.8
	1.72	3.78	3.91
	1.76	3.8	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.6)	3.86 ↓ (4.12)	3.86 ↓ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Walton & Hersham
52.7%

Draw
23.6%

Gloucester City
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

22.5%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

21.4%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Walton & Hersham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Walton & Hersham's form might have worsened.

Gloucester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Walton & Hersham than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Walton & Hersham, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gloucester City than the current prediction. (-5%)

Walton & Hersham - Gloucester City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', 1 - 0, Rogalski D. ⚽,
90+8', 2 - 0, Bolton E. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: )).

In recent matches, Walton & Hersham has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Gloucester is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Walton & Hersham is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Walton & Hersham won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:8. (average 2.7:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Walton & Hersham won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:7. (average 3:3.5).

Outrights of English Southern League South Division for now

Walton & Hersham: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
19	Gloucester	9	1	4	4	12:17	-5	7

Last Results with these Odds

Walton & Hersham - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 57.96%, but this team recently wins 89% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Walton & Hersham
English Southern League South Division
24.01.26	Walton & Hersham - Poole Town	1:2 ✺
17.01.26	Weymouth - Walton & Hersham	3:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
10.01.26	Walton & Hersham - Brackley Town	1:0 ✺
English Southern League South Division
03.01.26	Walton & Hersham - Gosport Borough	2:0 ✺
27.12.25	Chertsey Town - Walton & Hersham	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLWWW
- Gloucester City
English Southern League South Division
24.01.26	Gloucester City - Tiverton Town	3:1 ✺
17.01.26	Havant & Waterlooville - Gloucester City	3:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
10.01.26	Marine - Gloucester City	2:1 penalties ✺
English Southern League South Division
03.01.26	Gloucester City - Evesham United	2:2 ✺
27.12.25	Taunton Town - Gloucester City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
30.04.25	Walton & Hersham - Gloucester City	2:3 penalties
01.03.25	Gloucester City - Walton & Hersham	1:2
23.11.24	Walton & Hersham - Gloucester City	4:4

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