The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gloucester City 73.6%
Draw 15.9%
Tiverton Town 10.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
71.1%
16.6%
12.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
68.9%
16.1%
12.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gloucester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
Tiverton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gloucester City than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tiverton Town than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Gloucester City - Tiverton Town Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Day M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
78', 2 - 0, Hanks J. ⚽,
85', 3 - 0, Phillips K. ⚽,
90+5', 3 - 1, Hutchinson H. ⚽,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: ) and 22 in the zone Relegation).
Recent form of Gloucester has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Tiverton's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Gloucester may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Gloucester is the clear favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Gloucester won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
Including home match between the teams, Gloucester won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.