Match Info

Date: 30 November 2021, Tuesday


	Warrenpoint Town		Ballymena United

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.7	1.9
	3.45	3.55	1.87
	3.45	3.6	1.92
	3.67	3.99	1.91
	3.5	3.5	1.88
	3.72	3.76	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.53 ↑ (3.52)	3.68 ↓ (3.9)	1.9 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Warrenpoint Town
26.2%

Draw
25.1%

Ballymena United
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27%

24.3%

48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.6%

19.5%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Warrenpoint Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

The chances for Ballymena United have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Warrenpoint Town than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ballymena United than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ballymena United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Warrenpoint Town - Ballymena United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 in the zone NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group) and 8 in the zone NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group)).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Ballymena United will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 29 head-to-head matches Warrenpoint Town won 8 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 16 matches and goals 36-57.

Including matches at home between the teams Warrenpoint Town won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 21-29.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Warrenpoint Town
Northern Irish Premiership
27.11.21	Carrick Rangers - Warrenpoint Town	1:2 ✺
20.11.21	Warrenpoint Town - Glenavon	0:3 ✺
13.11.21	Warrenpoint Town - Cliftonville	2:4 ✺
Northern Irish League Cup
09.11.21	Warrenpoint Town - Limavady United	6:1 ✺
Northern Irish Premiership
06.11.21	Glentoran - Warrenpoint Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLLWL
- Ballymena United
Northern Irish Premiership
27.11.21	Ballymena United - Crusaders	2:0 ✺
20.11.21	Ballymena United - Carrick Rangers	0:1 ✺
13.11.21	Glentoran - Ballymena United	4:0 ✺
Northern Irish League Cup
09.11.21	Ballymena United - Linfield	3:1 ✺
Northern Irish Premiership
06.11.21	Glenavon - Ballymena United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.9 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Premiership
28.08.21	Warrenpoint Town - Ballymena United	2:1
25.05.21	Ballymena United - Warrenpoint Town	3:0
20.03.21	Warrenpoint Town - Ballymena United	2:2
16.03.21	Warrenpoint Town - Ballymena United	1:1
21.11.20	Ballymena United - Warrenpoint Town	2:0
Northern Irish Cup
01.02.20	Warrenpoint Town - Ballymena United	1:2
Northern Irish Premiership
30.11.19	Warrenpoint Town - Ballymena United	2:1

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