The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ballymena United 39.5%
Draw 25%
Carrick Rangers 35.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.9%
23.8%
40.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.9%
23.2%
39.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ballymena United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
Carrick Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ballymena United than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carrick Rangers than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Ballymena United - Carrick Rangers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Walsh D. (G) 8. Archer J. 3. Glynn M. 21. Hood J. 26. Lyons-Foster K. 15. McCallion D. 7. McKee C. 9. Rutkowski I. 6. Sule F. 13. Thorndike F. 2. Toure D.
1. Gartside N. (G) 15. Buchanan-Rolleston B. 6. Callacher J. 20. Cherry K. 19. Crowe J. 5. Forsythe J. 9. Gibson D. 30. Hawthorne C. 11. Maciulaitis N. 3. Nelson K. 14. Steele A.
Substitutes
23. Breen D. (G) 22. Edogun S. 20. Fallon S. 17. Leetch M. 24. McConnell C. 18. Murray S. 5. Whiteside S.
25. Agnew D. (G) 4. Burns B. 36. Carlisle M. 10. Lecky A. 17. Moore J. 7. O'Conchubhair D. 24. Snoddy M.
Coaches
Kearney O.
Baxter S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
11', McKee C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Archer J. ↓, Edogun S. ↑,
46', Thorndike F. ↓, Murray S. ↑,
46', 1 - 0, Rutkowski I. ⚽,
52', Hawthorne C. 🟨,
54', 1 - 1, Steele A. ⚽,
55', 🟨,
59', 🟨,
59', Hawthorne C. ↓, Burns B. ↑,
67', 🟨,
67', Hood J. ↓, Leetch M. ↑,
70', Edogun S. ↓, McConnell C. ↑,
72', Nelson K. 🟥,
82', Lyons-Foster K. ↓, Whiteside S. ↑,
90+6', Glynn M. 🟨,
Preview
This time weโll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 in the zone NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ballymena United won 4.
Ballymena United is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Carrick Rangers has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Ballymena United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Ballymena United has had a series of away games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ballymena United won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:21. (average 1.4:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Ballymena United won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1:1.1).
United-kingdom
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Walsh D. (G) 
Lyons-Foster K. 
Sule F. 
Maciulaitis N. 
Moore J. 
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