Match Info

NIFL Premiership - Round 29

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: The BetMcLean Oval (Belfast)

Referee: McNabb I. (Nir)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Glentoran		Ballymena United

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.35	6.5
	1.47	4.29	6.93
	1.39	4.6	6.59	Watch
	1.44	3.9	6.5
	1.51	4.08	6.13
	1.44	4.2	6.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.4)	4.24 ↑ (4.15)	6.5 ↓ (7.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Glentoran
64%

Draw
21.8%

Ballymena United
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.4%

22%

12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.3%

21.1%

12.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Glentoran has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Ballymena United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Glentoran than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ballymena United than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Glentoran - Ballymena United Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Glentoran will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Ballymena United will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mills A. (G) 22. Amos D. 36. Clarke R. 57. Daniels J. 30. Jenkins J. 18. Kamara M. 67. McEneff A. 26. O'Rourke J. 8. Palmer C. 27. Singleton J. 10. Stewart J.	30. Wade B. (G) 16. Clarke M. (C) 31. Corbally K. 22. Edogun S. 8. Jarvis A. 25. Mccallion D. 15. O'Donnell S. 12. Rutkowski I. 28. Sule F. 20. Thompson J. 5. Toure D.
Substitutes
17. Burt L. 7. Connolly D. 44. Douglas J. 23. Francis Crellin W. (G) 25. Gallagher B. 20. Larmour D. 35. Weatherup C.	23. Breen D. (G) 41. Hood J. 19. McCurry C. 24. McEleney S. 21. McGeouch D. 11. O'Conchubhair D. 17. O’Reilly J.
Coaches
Devine D.	Kearney O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, Rutkowski I. ⚽,
43', 1 - 1, McEneff A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 2 - 1, McEneff A. ⚽,
55', Thompson J. ↓, O'Conchubhair D. ↑,
60', Kamara M. 🟨,
67', Corbally K. ↓, McCurry C. ↑,
67', Edogun S. ↓, O’Reilly J. ↑,
74', Stewart J. ↓, Burt L. ↑,
77', Sule F. ↓, McGeouch D. ↑,
83', Jenkins J. ↓, Gallagher B. ↑,
83', Amos D. ↓, Douglas J. ↑,
88', Palmer C. 🟨,
89', Daniels J. ↓, Larmour D. ↑,
90+4', McGeouch D. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Glentoran won 4.

Glentoran is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ballymena United is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Ballymena United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Glentoran is the clear favorite.

We predict that Glentoran will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Glentoran won 13 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 39:13. (average 2:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Glentoran won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 25:3. (average 2.5:0.3).

Outrights of Northern Irish Premiership for now

Glentoran: 2.48% Ballymena: 0.84%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Glentoran	10	5	1	4	15:10	5	16
8	Ballymena	9	3	3	3	13:11	2	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Glentoran
Northern Irish Premiership
10.02.26	Larne - Glentoran	2:2 ✺
Northern Irish League Cup
03.02.26	Glentoran - Coleraine	2:1 ET ✺
Northern Irish Premiership
31.01.26	Dungannon Swifts - Glentoran	0:2 ✺
Northern Irish Cup
20.01.26	Glentoran - Strabane Athletic	4:0 ✺
Northern Irish Premiership
17.01.26	Glenavon - Glentoran	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TWWWW
- Ballymena United
Northern Irish Cup
03.02.26	Ballymena United - Larne	1:2 ✺
Northern Irish Premiership
31.01.26	Linfield - Ballymena United	2:1 ✺
Northern Irish League Cup
28.01.26	Linfield - Ballymena United	1:0 ✺
Northern Irish Premiership
24.01.26	Ballymena United - Portadown	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Dungannon Swifts - Ballymena United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Premiership
18.10.25	Glentoran - Ballymena United	2:0
06.09.25	Ballymena United - Glentoran	0:2
04.03.25	Glentoran - Ballymena United	1:0
18.02.25	Ballymena United - Glentoran	1:1
Northern Irish League Cup
07.01.25	Glentoran - Ballymena United	2:0
Northern Irish Premiership
14.09.24	Ballymena United - Glentoran	1:0
23.03.24	Glentoran - Ballymena United	4:0

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