Match Info

Date: 20 November 2021, Saturday


	Warrenpoint Town		Glenavon

	1	X	2
	4.4	4.2	1.6
	4	4	1.63
	4.2	4.2	1.63
	4.49	4.53	1.65
	4.4	4	1.6
	4.65	4.45	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.36 ↓ (5.02)	4.23 ↓ (4.43)	1.62 ↑ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Warrenpoint Town
21.2%

Draw
21.8%

Glenavon
57%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.5%

20.9%

60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.3%

17.3%

73.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Warrenpoint Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Glenavon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Warrenpoint Town than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Warrenpoint Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Glenavon than the current prediction. (+16.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Glenavon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Warrenpoint Town - Glenavon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group) and 9 in the zone NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group)).

The competitors look crappy now.

Warrenpoint Town could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Glenavon is a favorite.

Last 27 head-to-head matches Warrenpoint Town won 2 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 16 matches and goals 28-56.

Including matches at home between the teams Warrenpoint Town won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 14-33.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Warrenpoint Town
Northern Irish Premiership
13.11.21	Warrenpoint Town - Cliftonville	2:4 ✺
Northern Irish League Cup
09.11.21	Warrenpoint Town - Limavady United	6:1 ✺
Northern Irish Premiership
06.11.21	Glentoran - Warrenpoint Town	2:1 ✺
30.10.21	Warrenpoint Town - Crusaders	2:4 ✺
23.10.21	Coleraine - Warrenpoint Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LWLLL
- Glenavon FC
Northern Irish Premiership
13.11.21	Larne - Glenavon	3:2 ✺
06.11.21	Glenavon - Ballymena United	0:1 ✺
30.10.21	Cliftonville - Glenavon	2:1 ✺
16.10.21	Glenavon - Dungannon Swifts	4:2 ✺
Northern Irish League Cup
13.10.21	Glenavon - Glentoran	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Premiership
04.09.21	Warrenpoint Town - Glenavon	1:6
14.05.21	Glenavon - Warrenpoint Town	4:0
20.04.21	Warrenpoint Town - Glenavon	3:4
06.04.21	Glenavon - Warrenpoint Town	1:0
19.12.20	Warrenpoint Town - Glenavon	1:2
28.12.19	Glenavon - Warrenpoint Town	1:1
19.10.19	Warrenpoint Town - Glenavon	1:3

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