Match Info

NIFL Championship - Round 29

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Milltown (Warrenpoint)


	Warrenpoint Town		Dundela

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.65	4.25
	1.7	3.87	4.18	Watch
	1.67	3.4	4.2
	1.66	3.66	4.43
	1.57	4.2	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.57)	3.76 ↓ (4.08)	4.26 ↓ (4.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Warrenpoint Town
54.5%

Draw
24.2%

Dundela
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

22.2%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

21%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Warrenpoint Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Dundela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warrenpoint Town than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Warrenpoint Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dundela than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Warrenpoint Town - Dundela Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 1)

Preview

Dundela is NIFL Championship (Relegation Group )

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Warrenpoint Town may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Warrenpoint Town is seen as the favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Warrenpoint Town won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:11. (average 0.8:2.2).

Including home match between the teams, Warrenpoint Town won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Warrenpoint	10	4	2	4	18:15	3	14
12	Dundela	10	2	5	3	18:20	-2	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Warrenpoint Town
Northern Irish Championship
14.02.26	Newington - Warrenpoint Town	4:0 ✺
10.02.26	Queens University Belfast - Warrenpoint Town	1:0 ✺
Northern Irish Cup
07.02.26	Warrenpoint Town - Larne	0:2 ✺
Northern Irish Championship
31.01.26	Warrenpoint Town - Limavady United	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	Armagh City - Warrenpoint Town	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLW
- Dundela
Northern Irish Championship
14.02.26	Dundela - Ballinamallard United	1:4 ✺
07.02.26	Newington - Dundela	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	Armagh City - Dundela	0:3 ✺
24.01.26	Dundela - Queens University Belfast	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Institute FC - Dundela	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
22.11.25	Dundela - Warrenpoint Town	3:2
08.04.23	Warrenpoint Town - Dundela	1:1
04.03.23	Dundela - Warrenpoint Town	2:1
29.10.22	Dundela - Warrenpoint Town	1:0
Club Friendly
21.07.18	Dundela - Warrenpoint Town	4:0

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