Match Info

NIFL Championship - Round 28

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday


	Newington		Warrenpoint Town

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.55	2.98
	2.12	3.44	2.92
	2.12	3.68	2.91	Watch
	2.1	3.4	2.8
	2.12	3.42	2.96
	2.12	3.4	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (1.96)	3.48 ↓ (3.79)	2.91 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newington
42.9%

Draw
26%

Warrenpoint Town
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

24.3%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

21.3%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Warrenpoint Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newington than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warrenpoint Town than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Newington - Warrenpoint Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newington won 1.

Recent performances by Newington have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Warrenpoint Town is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Warrenpoint Town may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Newington will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Newington won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Newington won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Newington	10	6	2	2	24:18	6	20
8	Warrenpoint	10	4	2	4	18:15	3	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newington FC
Northern Irish Championship
07.02.26	Newington - Dundela	2:0 ✺
03.02.26	Ards - Newington	2:1 ✺
31.01.26	Harland & Wolff Welders - Newington	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Annagh United - Newington	3:2 ✺
17.01.26	Newington - Ards	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLLW
- Warrenpoint Town
Northern Irish Championship
10.02.26	Queens University Belfast - Warrenpoint Town	1:0 ✺
Northern Irish Cup
07.02.26	Warrenpoint Town - Larne	0:2 ✺
Northern Irish Championship
31.01.26	Warrenpoint Town - Limavady United	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	Armagh City - Warrenpoint Town	1:5 ✺
30.12.25	Warrenpoint Town - Harland & Wolff Welders	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
27.09.25	Newington - Warrenpoint Town	3:0
28.01.23	Warrenpoint Town - Newington	2:0
11.01.23	Newington - Warrenpoint Town	1:4
03.12.22	Newington - Warrenpoint Town	0:1
Northern Irish League Cup
13.09.22	Warrenpoint Town - Newington	1:0

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