Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 16

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday


	Warrington Rylands		Leek Town

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.65	3.65
	1.94	3.92	3.26	Watch
	1.86	3.63	3.88
	1.83	3.75	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.95)	3.74 ↓ (3.8)	3.6 ↑ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Warrington Rylands
49.7%

Draw
24.7%

Leek Town
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

24.4%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

23.9%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Warrington Rylands has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Leek Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Warrington Rylands than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leek Town than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Warrington Rylands - Leek Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Waring G. ⚽,
45', 2 - 0, Waring G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North and 18).

Warrington Rylands is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Leek has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Warrington Rylands has had a series of away games.

Warrington Rylands is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Warrington Rylands won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

Including home match between the teams, Warrington Rylands won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Warrington Rylands
English NPL Premier Division
25.10.25	Cleethorpes Town - Warrington Rylands	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	Ilkeston - Warrington Rylands	2:2 ✺
11.10.25	Warrington Rylands - Morpeth Town	4:3 ✺
07.10.25	Guiseley - Warrington Rylands	0:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Dunston UTS - Warrington Rylands	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WTWWL
- Leek Town
English FA Trophy
25.10.25	Leek Town - Bromsgrove Sporting	3:0 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
18.10.25	Hebburn Town - Leek Town	3:3 ✺
11.10.25	Leek Town - Lancaster City	0:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Halesowen Town - Leek Town	1:2 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
20.09.25	Leek Town - Ilkeston	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
18.02.25	Warrington Rylands - Leek Town	2:0
15.10.24	Leek Town - Warrington Rylands	0:1

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