Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 16

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday


	Lancaster City		Whitby Town

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.65	3.2
	2.03	3.78	3.13	Watch
	1.97	3.55	3.2
	1.92	3.5	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.03)	3.62 ↓ (3.78)	3.26 ↑ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lancaster City
46.7%

Draw
25.2%

Whitby Town
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

24.6%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

25%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lancaster City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Whitby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lancaster City than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Whitby Town than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Lancaster City - Whitby Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: ) and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lancaster won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Whitby has had a series of home games.

Lancaster will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Lancaster won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:14. (average 1.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Lancaster won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.6:1.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Whitby Town - the odds 3.13 are the expected chance of winning is 29.67%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lancaster City
English NPL Premier Division
25.10.25	Warrington Town - Lancaster City	3:2 ✺
18.10.25	Lancaster City - Hednesford Town	0:0 ✺
11.10.25	Leek Town - Lancaster City	0:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
07.10.25	Prescot Cables - Lancaster City	2:0 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
27.09.25	Lancaster City - Guiseley	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LTWLT
- Whitby Town
English NPL Premier Division
25.10.25	Whitby Town - Rushall Olympic	3:1 ✺
18.10.25	Whitby Town - Bamber Bridge	0:2 ✺
14.10.25	Whitby Town - Hednesford Town	2:1 ✺
11.10.25	Ashton United - Whitby Town	1:4 ✺
English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Whitby Town - Hebburn Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
05.04.25	Lancaster City - Whitby Town	0:1
30.11.24	Whitby Town - Lancaster City	3:0
27.02.24	Whitby Town - Lancaster City	1:1
28.11.23	Lancaster City - Whitby Town	2:1
25.02.23	Lancaster City - Whitby Town	2:0
12.11.22	Whitby Town - Lancaster City	1:2
08.01.22	Whitby Town - Lancaster City	0:3

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