Match Info

POLAND: Division 1 - Round 22

Date: 1 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Respect Energy Stadium (Grodzisk Wielkopolski)

Referee: Szczech L. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Warta Poznań		Stal Rzeszów

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.25	2.35
	2.85	3.05	2.34
	2.92	3.28	2.48
	2.9	3.26	2.41	Watch
	2.88	3.1	2.3
	2.86	3.31	2.4	Watch
	2.85	3.05	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.7)	3.19 ↓ (3.2)	2.37 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Warta Poznań
32.2%

Draw
29%

Stal Rzeszów
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

28.6%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

28.1%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Warta Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Stal Rzeszów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Rzeszów than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Warta Poznań - Stal Rzeszów Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
42. Przybylak L. (G) 4. Wojcinowicz T. 27. Przybylko K. 37. Gryszkiewicz A. 26. Michalski K. 5. Tkachuk Y. 10. Zurawski M. 44. Markov I. 11. Drzazga K. 18. Feliks M. 9. Firlej M. (C)	1. Bakowski K. (G) 2. Warczak P. 39. Kaczor M. 14. Koscielny K. 77. Kukulka K. 52. Gujda D. 7. Lysiak K. (C) 44. Piotrowski B. 46. Lyczko S. 19. Musik M. 10. Duljevic H.
Substitutes
2. Bartkowski J. 7. Gaska D. 19. Jozwicki K. 3. Kielb J. 12. Oleniak B. (G) 32. Rajsel N. 20. Szeliga B. 77. Walus F.	9. Bala T. 53. Blejwas F. 55. Kaczowka J. 21. Kadziolka S. 51. Kucharski J. 27. Pena C. 12. Raciniewski J. (G) 22. Simcak M. 4. Synos M.
Coaches
Klepczarek P.	Zub M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
39', Koscielny K. 🟨,
41', Przybylko K. 🟨,
45+3', 0 - 1, Musik M. (Pen),
45+4', Feliks M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Markov I. ↓, Szeliga B. ↑,
48', Szeliga B. 🟨,
54', Koscielny K. 🟥,
58', Gujda D. ↓, Synos M. ↑,
61', Drzazga K. ↓, Rajsel N. ↑,
69', Rajsel N. 🟨,
69', Michalski K. ↓, Walus F. ↑,
70', Musik M. ↓, Bala T. ↑,
70', Lyczko S. ↓, Pena C. ↑,
76', Przybylko K. 🟨,
79', Zurawski M. ↓, Gaska D. ↑,
79', Gryszkiewicz A. ↓, Kielb J. ↑,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 13 and 9).

Warta is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Stal Rzeszów is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Stal Rzeszów could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Warta have a series of guest games.

Recently Stal Rzeszów have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Warta won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:4

Last Results with these Odds

Stal Rzeszów - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 37.41%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Warta Poznań
Polish Division 1
24.02.25	Stal Stalowa Wola - Warta Poznań	0:0 ✺
16.02.25	Warta Poznań - GKS Tychy	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
02.02.25	Zagłębie Lubin - Warta Poznań	0:0 ✺
25.01.25	Arka Gdynia - Warta Poznań	1:0 ✺
18.01.25	Miedź Legnica - Warta Poznań	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TLTLT
- Stal Rzeszów
Polish Division 1
21.02.25	Stal Rzeszów - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	1:0 ✺
15.02.25	Miedź Legnica - Stal Rzeszów	3:3 ✺
Club Friendly
08.02.25	Stal Rzeszów - Wisła Puławy	1:2 ✺
08.02.25	Stal Rzeszów - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	2:1 ✺
01.02.25	Stal Rzeszów - MFK Košice	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
17.08.24	Stal Rzeszów - Warta Poznań	4:0

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