The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Stal Mielec 34.6%
Draw 26.1%
Warta Poznań 39.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.4%
27.2%
36.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.1%
27.7%
35.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stal Mielec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
Warta Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Stal Mielec - Warta Poznań Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 16th in the Relegation - Division 2 and 3rd in the Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Playoffs - Semi - finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stal Mielec won 1.
Stal Mielec is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Warta has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Stal Mielec could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Stal Mielec has recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:11 (averaging 0.8:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Stal Mielec against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 5:4 goals (averaging 0.8:0.7 per game).
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