Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP I - ROUND 16

Date: 11 November 2023, Saturday


	Warta Sieradz		Concordia Elbląg

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.5	3.3
	1.8	3.62	3.64
	1.8	3.62	3.64
	1.8	3.7	3.62	Watch
	1.88	3.75	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.2)	3.64 ↑ (3.55)	3.48 ↑ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Warta Sieradz
49.3%

Draw
24.8%

Concordia Elbląg
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

25.4%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

26.7%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Warta Sieradz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Warta Sieradz's performance.

Concordia Elbląg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Concordia Elbląg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Warta Sieradz than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Warta Sieradz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Concordia Elbląg than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Concordia Elbląg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Warta Sieradz is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Concordia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Concordia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Warta Sieradz won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Warta Sieradz won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Warta Sieradz
Polish Division 3 - Group I
03.11.23	Broń Radom - Warta Sieradz	1:0 ✺
28.10.23	Warta Sieradz - Pelikan Łowicz	2:0 ✺
21.10.23	Legia II - Warta Sieradz	2:1 ✺
14.10.23	Warta Sieradz - Olimpia Zambrów	0:2 ✺
08.10.23	GKS Bełchatów - Warta Sieradz	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWLLL
- Concordia Elbląg
Polish Division 3 - Group I
04.11.23	Concordia Elbląg - Victoria Sulejówek	4:1 ✺
28.10.23	ŁKS Łomża - Concordia Elbląg	2:4 ✺
21.10.23	Concordia Elbląg - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	0:4 ✺
14.10.23	Unia Skierniewice - Concordia Elbląg	4:1 ✺
07.10.23	Concordia Elbląg - Pilica Białobrzegi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
27.05.23	Concordia Elbląg - Warta Sieradz	1:1
29.10.22	Warta Sieradz - Concordia Elbląg	0:0

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