Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 33

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday


	Wasilków		Broń Radom

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.6	1.87
	3.7	3.65	1.75
	3.55	3.77	1.72
	3.7	3.88	1.77	Watch
	3.75	3.4	1.75
	4.02	3.78	1.7	Watch
	2.8	3.3	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.54 ↑ (2.86)	3.63 ↑ (3.51)	1.81 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wasilków
25.5%

Draw
24.9%

Broń Radom
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

25.2%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

23.4%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wasilków has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wasilków's form might have worsened.

Broń Radom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Broń Radom's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wasilków than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wasilków, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Broń Radom than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Broń Radom, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Wasilków - Broń Radom Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Kobiera S. ⚽,
16', 1 - 1, ⚽,
44', 1 - 2, Jakubczyk P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', 1 - 3, ⚽,
68', 1 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Wasilków is Relegated to

In recent matches, Wasilków has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Broń Radom is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Wasilków may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Wasilków has had a series of home games.

Broń Radom could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Wasilków won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Wasilków won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KS Wasilków
Polish Division 3 - Group I
16.05.26	Wasilków - Wigry Suwałki	0:3 ✺
13.05.26	Wasilków - Znicz Biała Piska	3:3 ✺
09.05.26	Wasilków - Warta Sieradz	0:3 ✺
01.05.26	Ząbkovia Ząbki - Wasilków	0:3 ✺
25.04.26	Wasilków - Wisła Płock II	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LTLWW
- Broń Radom
Polish Division 3 - Group I
17.05.26	Broń Radom - Legia II	1:2 ✺
13.05.26	Ząbkovia Ząbki - Broń Radom	0:0 ✺
08.05.26	Broń Radom - Troszyn	1:1 ✺
01.05.26	Mławianka Mława - Broń Radom	3:2 ✺
26.04.26	Broń Radom - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
08.11.25	Broń Radom - Wasilków	2:1
10.04.21	Wasilków - Broń Radom	0:2
03.10.20	Broń Radom - Wasilków	1:1
24.08.19	Wasilków - Broń Radom	0:1

Wasilków - Broń Radom: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide