Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 12

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday


	Wasilków		Ząbkovia Ząbki

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.55	1.41
	2.20	4.11	2.58	Watch
	5.83	4.6	1.41	Watch
	5.25	4.33	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.7 ↓ (5)	4.4 ↓ (4.5)	1.71 ↑ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wasilków
20.7%

Draw
22.1%

Ząbkovia Ząbki
57.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.9%

19.9%

62.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.5%

19.5%

63.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wasilków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Ząbkovia Ząbki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ząbkovia Ząbki might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wasilków than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ząbkovia Ząbki than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ząbkovia Ząbki could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Wasilków - Ząbkovia Ząbki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
6', 1 - 0, Vatkevich A. ⚽,
21', 1 - 1, Lelito B. ⚽,
31', 1 - 2, Augustyniak M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
71', 1 - 3, Sonnenberg P. ⚽,
88', 1 - 4, Gierach P. ⚽,
90+1', 1 - 5, Szwed M. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2).

Wasilków is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ząbkovia is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Ząbkovia is a strong favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KS Wasilków
Polish Division 3 - Group I
04.10.25	Wisła Płock II - Wasilków	1:0 ✺
27.09.25	Wasilków - Widzew Łódź II	2:3 ✺
20.09.25	GKS Bełchatów - Wasilków	3:1 ✺
14.09.25	Wasilków - Troszyn	3:2 ✺
06.09.25	Wasilków - Mławianka Mława	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLLWT
- Ząbkovia Ząbki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
04.10.25	Ząbkovia Ząbki - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	2:1 ✺
27.09.25	Ząbkovia Ząbki - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	5:1 ✺
20.09.25	Wisła Płock II - Ząbkovia Ząbki	2:2 ✺
12.09.25	Ząbkovia Ząbki - ŁKS Łomża	2:0 ✺
06.09.25	GKS Bełchatów - Ząbkovia Ząbki	3:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWTWW

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