Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 14

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Wisła Płock II		Ząbkovia Ząbki

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.70	2.45
	2.32	3.55	2.42
	2.58	3.7	2.41
	2.53	3.6	2.38	Watch
	2.5	3.2	2.25
	2.42	3.7	2.28	Watch
	2.1	3.5	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.04)	3.56 ↓ (3.65)	2.44 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wisła Płock II
37.8%

Draw
25.3%

Ząbkovia Ząbki
36.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.7%

24.4%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

25.4%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wisła Płock II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wisła Płock II's form might have worsened.

Ząbkovia Ząbki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wisła Płock II than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wisła Płock II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ząbkovia Ząbki than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ząbkovia Ząbki, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Wisła Płock II - Ząbkovia Ząbki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Owczarek P. ⚽,
19', 1 - 1, Lesniewski S. ⚽,
32', 2 - 1, Lapinski S. ⚽,
37', 2 - 2, Owczarek P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
89', Kencel M. 🟥,

Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 8th and 7th).

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Wisła Płock II could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Wisła Płock II has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:2 (averaging 1.5:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Wisła Płock II against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 2:2 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Zabki	14	6	4	4	27:23	4	22
8	Plock II	14	6	4	4	27:23	4	22

Last Results with these Odds

Wisła Płock II - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 43.72%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wisła Płock II
Polish Division 3 - Group I
17.10.26	Warta Sieradz - Wisła Płock II	2:1 ✺
10.10.26	Wisła Płock II - Troszyn	2:1 ✺
03.10.26	Wigry Suwałki - Wisła Płock II	1:0 ✺
25.09.26	Wisła Płock II - Jagiellonia II Białystok	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	Mazovia Mińsk Mazowiecki - Wisła Płock II	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLWL
- Ząbkovia Ząbki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
18.10.26	Troszyn - Ząbkovia Ząbki	1:1 ✺
14.10.26	ŁKS Łódź II - Ząbkovia Ząbki	0:3 ✺
10.10.26	Ząbkovia Ząbki - Jagiellonia II Białystok	2:2 ✺
25.09.26	Ząbkovia Ząbki - Mławianka Mława	3:4 ✺
18.09.26	ŁKS Łomża - Ząbkovia Ząbki	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
11.04.26	Ząbkovia Ząbki - Wisła Płock II	0:1
20.09.25	Wisła Płock II - Ząbkovia Ząbki	2:2

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