Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 9

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday


	Wisła Płock II		Ząbkovia Ząbki

	1	X	2
	2.96	3.75	2
	1.92	4.04	3.13	Watch
	3.01	3.94	2.02	Watch
	2.5	3.7	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.5)	3.86 ↑ (3.7)	2.4 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wisła Płock II
36.3%

Draw
24.4%

Ząbkovia Ząbki
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

25.1%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

25.4%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wisła Płock II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Ząbkovia Ząbki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wisła Płock II than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ząbkovia Ząbki than the current prediction. (-2%)

Wisła Płock II - Ząbkovia Ząbki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
3', 1 - 0, Krawczyk P. ⚽,
15', 1 - 1, Czulowski P. ⚽,
32', 1 - 2, Augustyniak M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', 2 - 2, Wieckowski M. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2).

Wisła Płock II is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ząbkovia is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Wisła Płock II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wisła Płock II
Polish Division 3 - Group I
17.09.25	Wisła Płock II - Legia II	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Wisła Płock II	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Wigry Suwałki - Wisła Płock II	3:2 ✺
27.08.25	Wisła Płock II - ŁKS Łomża	2:1 ✺
22.08.25	Mławianka Mława - Wisła Płock II	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LTLWL
- Ząbkovia Ząbki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
12.09.25	Ząbkovia Ząbki - ŁKS Łomża	2:0 ✺
06.09.25	GKS Bełchatów - Ząbkovia Ząbki	3:6 ✺
30.08.25	Ząbkovia Ząbki - Troszyn	6:2 ✺
27.08.25	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Ząbkovia Ząbki	1:5 ✺
23.08.25	Ząbkovia Ząbki - Warta Sieradz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWWWW

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