Match Info

Premier League - Round 32

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Waterhouse Mini Stadium (Kingston)


	Waterhouse		Arnett Gardens

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.08	3.05	3.25	Watch
	2.14	3.09	3.32
	2.12	3.3	3.39	Watch
	2.1	3	3.1
	2.1	3.06	3.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (2.03)	3.1 ↓ (3.29)	3.28 ↓ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Waterhouse
43.1%

Draw
29.3%

Arnett Gardens
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

27.9%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

27.4%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Waterhouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Arnett Gardens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waterhouse than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arnett Gardens than the current prediction. (-1%)

Waterhouse - Arnett Gardens Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', 1 - 0, ⚽,
62', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waterhouse won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Waterhouse could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Waterhouse won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 17:28. (average 0.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Waterhouse won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:14. (average 0.6:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Waterhouse	3	3	0	0	13:0	13	9
8	Arnett Gardens	4	1	1	2	8:7	1	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Waterhouse FC
Jamaica National Premier League
30.03.26	Waterhouse - Spanish Town Police	5:1 ✺
26.03.26	Portmore United - Waterhouse	2:1 ✺
22.03.26	Waterhouse - Cavalier	2:1 ✺
18.03.26	Molynes United - Waterhouse	0:4 ✺
15.03.26	Waterhouse - Montego Bay United	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLWWL
- Arnett Gardens FC
Jamaica National Premier League
30.03.26	Arnett Gardens - Mount Pleasant	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Arnett Gardens - Harbour View	0:1 ✺
19.03.26	Tivoli Gardens - Arnett Gardens	0:2 ✺
16.03.26	Arnett Gardens - Racing United	4:0 ✺
08.03.26	Arnett Gardens - Molynes United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Jamaica National Premier League
19.01.26	Waterhouse - Arnett Gardens	0:1
22.09.25	Arnett Gardens - Waterhouse	2:1
27.04.25	Waterhouse - Arnett Gardens	0:2
13.02.25	Arnett Gardens - Waterhouse	3:2
02.12.24	Waterhouse - Arnett Gardens	0:1
19.05.24	Waterhouse - Arnett Gardens	1:5
18.02.24	Waterhouse - Arnett Gardens	0:0

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