Match Info

Premier League - Round 31

Date: 30 March 2026, Monday

Location: Waterhouse Mini Stadium (Kingston)


	Waterhouse		Spanish Town Police

	1	X	2
	1.2	5.5	11
	1.58	3.86	5.22
	1.21	5.96	13.56	Watch
	1.25	5	8.5
	1.2	5.45	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.32)	5.15 ↑ (4.98)	10.06 ↑ (8.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Waterhouse
72.6%

Draw
18.1%

Spanish Town Police
9.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.3%

18.6%

11.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

76.1%

17.2%

10.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Waterhouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Spanish Town Police has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waterhouse than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spanish Town Police than the current prediction. (+1%)

Waterhouse - Spanish Town Police Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, ⚽,
41', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
51', 3 - 0, ⚽,
54', 3 - 1, ⚽,
86', 4 - 1, ⚽,
88', 5 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Waterhouse has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Spanish Town is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Waterhouse is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Waterhouse won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Including home match between the teams, Waterhouse won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Waterhouse	3	3	0	0	13:0	13	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Waterhouse FC
Jamaica National Premier League
26.03.26	Portmore United - Waterhouse	2:1 ✺
22.03.26	Waterhouse - Cavalier	2:1 ✺
18.03.26	Molynes United - Waterhouse	0:4 ✺
15.03.26	Waterhouse - Montego Bay United	0:4 ✺
09.03.26	Waterhouse - Montego Bay United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 LWWLW
- Spanish Town Police FC
Jamaica National Premier League
26.03.26	Mount Pleasant - Spanish Town Police	4:0 ✺
23.03.26	Spanish Town Police - Treasure Beach	0:0 ✺
19.03.26	Harbour View - Spanish Town Police	3:0 ✺
16.03.26	Spanish Town Police - Tivoli Gardens	0:0 ✺
02.03.26	Waterhouse - Spanish Town Police	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Jamaica National Premier League
02.03.26	Waterhouse - Spanish Town Police	3:0
15.12.25	Spanish Town Police - Waterhouse	2:1

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