Match Info

ENGLAND: EFL Cup - 1/64-finals

Date: 13 August 2024, Tuesday

Location: Vicarage Road (Watford)

Referee: Smith L. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Paramount+


	Watford		Milton Keynes Dons

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.5	6	Watch
	1.52	4.4	5.75
	1.48	4.75	6.5	Watch
	1.49	4.76	5.61
	1.48	4.68	5.67	Watch
	1.57	4.2	5.5
	1.5	4.6	5.95	Watch
	1.48	4.75	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.5)	4.58 ↑ (4.36)	5.94 ↓ (6.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Watford
63.3%

Draw
20.7%

Milton Keynes Dons
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.9%

21.6%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.2%

23.4%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Watford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Watford than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	8.3%	8.3%

Watford - Milton Keynes Dons Predictions

Users Predictions: Watford will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Bond J. (G) 3. Sierralta F. 6. Pollock M. (C) 22. Morris J. 45. Andrews R. 7. Ince T. 24. Dele-Bashiru T. 12. Sema K. 10. Louza I. 11. Vata R. 9. Rajovic M.	12. Harness N. (G) 34. Tripp C. 5. Sherring S. 3. Lewington D. 2. Pritchard J. 6. Williams M. 28. Carroll T. 14. Tomlinson J. 18. Leigh T. 22. Hendry C. 9. Harrison E.
Substitutes
34. Baah K. 19. Bayo V. 20. Doumbia M. 39. Kayembe E. 37. Larouci Y. 41. Marriott A. (G) 5. Porteous R. 57. Ramirez-Espain L. 15. Tikvic A.	8. Gilbey A. 10. Kelly L. 1. McGill T. (G) 16. Nemane A. 17. Offord L. 25. Scholtz P. 33. Singh-Hurditt D. 4. Tucker J. 11. Wearne S.
Coaches
Cleverley T.	Williamson M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Pollock M. ⚽, Ince T. (A),
45+1', 2 - 0, Ince T. ⚽, Andrews R. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Leigh T. ↓, Wearne S. ↑,
46', Hendry C. ↓, Gilbey A. ↑,
46', Pritchard J. ↓, Tucker J. ↑,
61', Sema K. ↓, Larouci Y. ↑,
61', Rajovic M. ↓, Doumbia M. ↑,
62', Vata R. ↓, Baah K. ↑,
64', 3 - 0, Baah K. ⚽, Larouci Y. (A),
67', 4 - 0, Ince T. ⚽,
70', Sierralta F. 🟨,
70', Sherring S. ↓, Nemane A. ↑,
74', 5 - 0, Ince T. ⚽,
76', Sierralta F. ↓, Tikvic A. ↑,
76', Dele-Bashiru T. ↓, Ramirez-Espain L. ↑,
88', Harrison E. ↓, Singh-Hurditt D. ↑,
90', Williams M. 🟨,

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Recently Watford have a series of guest games.

In this match Watford is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Watford won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Watford won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Watford FC
English League Championship
10.08.24	Millwall - Watford	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Watford - Brentford	1:1 ✺
30.07.24	Wycombe Wanderers - Watford	3:2 ✺
24.07.24	Hibernian - Watford	2:3 ✺
20.07.24	Gillingham - Watford	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WTLWL
- Milton Keynes Dons
English League Two
10.08.24	Milton Keynes Dons - Bradford City	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Milton Keynes Dons - Plymouth Argyle	0:1 ✺
30.07.24	Milton Keynes Dons - Portsmouth	1:1 ✺
27.07.24	Wealdstone - Milton Keynes Dons	1:3 ✺
24.07.24	Chelmsford City - Milton Keynes Dons	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Cup
23.08.22	Watford - Milton Keynes Dons	0:2

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