Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 15

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday


	Pogoń Szczecin II		Flota Świnoujście

	1	X	2
	2.32	3.35	2.62
	2.33	3.55	2.61	Watch
	2.29	3.44	2.59	Watch
	2.3	3.3	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.3)	3.41 ↓ (3.48)	2.61 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń Szczecin II
39%

Draw
26.4%

Flota Świnoujście
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

26.1%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

25.6%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Szczecin II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Flota Świnoujście has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Szczecin II than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flota Świnoujście than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Pogoń Szczecin II - Flota Świnoujście Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Czaplinski J. ⚽,
24', 2 - 0, Kostorz K. ⚽,
30', 3 - 0, Lawa N. ⚽,
37', 3 - 1, Graczyk M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
62', 3 - 2, Paczuk P. ⚽,
65', 3 - 3, Hamid H. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin II won 4.

Pogoń Szczecin II is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Flota's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Pogoń Szczecin II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin II won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Pogoń Szczecin II won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Szczecin II
Polish Division 3 - Group II
25.10.25	Elana Toruń - Pogoń Szczecin II	1:2 ✺
19.10.25	Kluczevia Stargard - Pogoń Szczecin II	3:0 ✺
12.10.25	Pogoń Szczecin II - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo	2:3 ✺
04.10.25	Lech Poznań 2 - Pogoń Szczecin II	3:1 ✺
27.09.25	Pogoń Szczecin II - Lipno Stęszew	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLLLL
- Flota Świnoujście
Polish Cup
29.10.25	Avia Świdnik - Flota Świnoujście	3:0 ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group II
25.10.25	Flota Świnoujście - Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	Wda Świecie - Flota Świnoujście	2:1 ✺
11.10.25	Flota Świnoujście - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	1:0 ✺
04.10.25	Unia Swarzędz - Flota Świnoujście	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
15.05.25	Flota Świnoujście - Pogoń Szczecin II	0:3
18.10.24	Pogoń Szczecin II - Flota Świnoujście	1:0
30.05.24	Pogoń Szczecin II - Flota Świnoujście	1:2
11.11.23	Flota Świnoujście - Pogoń Szczecin II	1:3
Club Friendly
09.12.20	Flota Świnoujście - Pogoń Szczecin II	1:2
Polish Division 3 - Group II
08.08.20	Flota Świnoujście - Pogoń Szczecin II	2:2

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