Match Info

National League - Round 15

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: York Community Stadium (York) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	16:00	DAZN
Argentina	11:00	DAZN
Australia	01:00	DAZN
Austria	16:00	DAZN
Belarus	17:00	DAZN
Bolivia	10:00	DAZN
Brazil	11:00	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	17:00	DAZN
Canada	10:00	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Colombia	09:00	DAZN
Croatia	16:00	DAZN
Cyprus	17:00	DAZN
Czech Republic	16:00	DAZN
Denmark	16:00	DAZN
Ecuador	09:00	DAZN
Finland	17:00	DAZN
France	16:00	DAZN France
Germany	16:00	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	17:00	DAZN
Hong Kong	22:00	DAZN
Hungary	16:00	DAZN
India	19:30	DAZN
Indonesia	21:00	DAZN
Italy	16:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	23:00	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	20:00	DAZN
Latvia	17:00	DAZN
Lithuania	17:00	DAZN
Malaysia	22:00	DAZN
Mexico	08:00	DAZN
New Zealand	03:00	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	15:00	DAZN
North Macedonia	16:00	DAZN
Norway	16:00	DAZN
Paraguay	11:00	DAZN
Philippines	22:00	DAZN
Poland	16:00	DAZN
Portugal	15:00	DAZN / App
Romania	17:00	DAZN
Russia	17:00	DAZN
Serbia	16:00	DAZN
Slovenia	16:00	DAZN
South Africa	16:00	DAZN
South Korea	23:00	DAZN
Spain	16:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	16:00	DAZN
Switzerland	16:00	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	22:00	DAZN
Thailand	21:00	DAZN
Ukraine	17:00	DAZN
United Arab Emirates	18:00	DAZN
United Kingdom	15:00	DAZN
Uruguay	11:00	DAZN
Usa	10:00	DAZN USA
Uzbekistan	19:00	DAZN
Venezuela	10:00	DAZN
Vietnam	21:00	DAZN


	York City		Wealdstone

	1	X	2
	1.3	5.5	7.5
	1.32	5.3	7.5
	1.3	5.75	8.61
	1.02	16.07	25.00	Watch
	1.32	5.58	7.6
	1.42	4.5	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.41)	7.12 ↑ (4.39)	10.5 ↑ (6.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

York City
76.8%

Draw
13.8%

Wealdstone
9.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

65.2%

20.9%

13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

20.5%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in York City's performance.

Wealdstone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for York City than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with York City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wealdstone than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

York City - Wealdstone Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Male H. (G) 4. Fagan-Walcott M. 8. Hunt A. 3. Kitching M. 6. Palmer A. 21. Boateng H. 23. Felix J. 12. Grey J. 18. Batty D. 30. Newby A. 10. Pearce O.	1. Baptiste D. (G) 22. McAvoy C. 5. Woodman D. 15. Chinedu P. 8. Kadji D. 4. Mussa O. 7. Boldewijn E. 20. Tshikuna N. 14. Obiero M. 29. Tiensia J. 9. Olomola O.
Substitutes
28. Banks O. 14. Brookes B. 2. Fallowfield R. 5. Howe C. 22. Olley G. 9. Stones J. 31. Sykes-Kenworthy G. (G)	30. Agyemang T. 2. Cook J. 31. Graczyk H. (G) 11. Hassan S. 17. Hutchinson D. 10. Kretzschmar M. 24. Young-Coombes N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', McAvoy C. 🟨,
19', 1 - 0, Fagan-Walcott M. ⚽, Boateng H. (A),
26', 2 - 0, Pearce O. ⚽,
44', Palmer A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Palmer A. ↓, Howe C. ↑,
60', 3 - 0, Pearce O. ⚽, Grey J. (A),
61', Kadji D. ↓, Kretzschmar M. ↑,
61', Tshikuna N. ↓, Agyemang T. ↑,
64', Grey J. ↓, Fallowfield R. ↑,
64', Fagan-Walcott M. ↓, Banks O. ↑,
68', Boateng H. ↓, Olley G. ↑,
69', Olomola O. ↓, Young-Coombes N. ↑,
75', 4 - 0, Newby A. ⚽,
76', Pearce O. ↓, Stones J. ↑,
80', McAvoy C. ↓, Cook J. ↑,
81', Mussa O. ↓, Hutchinson D. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, York won 2.

Now, both teams are in good form.

In this match, York is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, York won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.7:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, York won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- York City
English FA Cup
11.10.25	Rochdale - York City	1:2 ✺
English National League
04.10.25	Hartlepool United - York City	1:2 ✺
01.10.25	York City - Scunthorpe United	1:3 ✺
27.09.25	Forest Green Rovers - York City	1:1 ✺
23.09.25	York City - Carlisle United	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWLTW
- Wealdstone
English FA Cup
11.10.25	Wealdstone - Whitstable Town	5:1 ✺
English National League
04.10.25	Wealdstone - Altrincham	1:1 ✺
01.10.25	Brackley Town - Wealdstone	0:2 ✺
27.09.25	Wealdstone - Eastleigh	0:0 ✺
24.09.25	Tamworth - Wealdstone	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
29.03.25	York City - Wealdstone	3:0
07.09.24	Wealdstone - York City	0:2
02.03.24	York City - Wealdstone	2:3
05.08.23	Wealdstone - York City	2:1
18.02.23	Wealdstone - York City	3:1
19.11.22	York City - Wealdstone	1:2

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