The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Wealdstone 61.1%
Draw 21.1%
Stoke City U21 17.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.4%
25.1%
26.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.2%
21.9%
30.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wealdstone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wealdstone's performance.
Stoke City U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stoke City U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wealdstone than the current prediction. (-18.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wealdstone that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stoke City U21 than the current prediction. (+12.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stoke City U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Wealdstone - Stoke City U21 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Johnson E. (G) 11. Chesters D. 2. Cook J. 15. Henry A. 8. Kadji D. 23. Mundle-Smith J. 3. Newton J. 27. Newton T. 9. Olomola O. 19. Waweru W. 25. Williams A.
1. Cooper N. (G) 10. Achu T. 5. Collins H. 3. Dauda A. 7. Fearn E. 6. Kelly G. 11. Martin T. 2. Mears J. 8. Morrison G. 4. Thompson W. 9. Walker A.
Substitutes
24. Atem S. 31. Burrows M. 12. Francis-Clarke A. 10. Harris J. J. 29. Kaunda A. 20. Lee C.
13. Clothier C. (G) 12. Liu R. 15. Makavore P. 16. Phillips S. 14. Poole F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Newton J. 🟨,
20', Martin T. ↓, Makavore P. ↑,
27', Mundle-Smith J. 🟨,
28', 1 - 0, Waweru W. ⚽, Newton J. (A),
2nd Half (5 - 0)
46', Kadji D. ↓, Harris J. J. ↑,
46', Mundle-Smith J. ↓, Francis-Clarke A. ↑,
50', 2 - 0, Waweru W. ⚽, Olomola O. (A),
51', Fearn E. ↓, Liu R. ↑,
61', Newton J. ↓, Kaunda A. ↑,
61', Henry A. ↓, Atem S. ↑,
62', 3 - 0, Kaunda A. ⚽, Waweru W. (A),
68', 4 - 0, Olomola O. ⚽, Cook J. (A),
68', Morrison G. 🟨,
70', Walker A. ↓, Phillips S. ↑,
71', Thompson W. ↓, Poole F. ↑,
75', Cook J. ↓, Lee C. ↑,
76', Morrison G. 🟨,
78', 5 - 0, Waweru W. ⚽,
80', 6 - 0, Kaunda A. ⚽, Chesters D. (A),
Preview
The current form of both teams is below expectations.
Wealdstone may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Watch
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Johnson E. (G) 
Waweru W. 
Morrison G. 
Atem S. 
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