Match Info

National League - Round 5

Date: 31 August 2026, Monday

Location: VBS Community Stadium (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	DAZN National League


	Sutton United		Wealdstone

	1	X	2
	1.70	3.70	4.20
	1.75	3.40	3.90
	1.84	3.60	3.80
	1.79	4.02	4.26
	1.91	3.65	3.67	Watch
	1.76	3.95	4.00
	1.71	3.79	4.53
	1.82	3.65	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.96)	3.72 ↑ (3.41)	4.04 ↑ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sutton United
52%

Draw
25%

Wealdstone
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

27%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

25.4%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sutton United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sutton United's performance.

Wealdstone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wealdstone than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.1%	5.9%	0%

Sutton United - Wealdstone Predictions

Users Predictions: Sutton United will win (16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.94% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Brits S. (G) 20. Francis J. 12. Urpens D. 4. Kirk A. 3. Topalloj B. 8. Taylor J. (C) 7. Osadebe E. 10. Carter C. 6. Bell C. 18. Ogbonna D. 9. Babalola T.	1. Baptiste D. (G) 22. McAvoy C. (C) 5. Conroy D. 7. Norris L. 3. Newton J. 4. Wells-Morrison J. 11. Chesters D. 10. Harris J. J. 14. Obiero M. 8. Kadji D. 12. Francis-Clarke A.
Substitutes
24. Bello O. 51. Byron T. 11. Folarin S. 13. Haigh Ch. (G) 14. Mussa O. 16. Njoku B. 22. Ruiz R.	6. Barrett M. 13. Johnson E. (G) 23. Mundle-Smith J. 27. Newton T. 9. Olomola O. 18. Smith K. 19. Waweru W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Obiero M. ⚽,
33', Conroy D. ↓, Barrett M. ↑,
45+3', Taylor J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Taylor J. ↓, Mussa O. ↑,
56', Bell C. 🟨,
57', Bell C. ↓, Njoku B. ↑,
64', Mussa O. 🟨,
67', 0 - 2, Obiero M. (Penalty Awarded),
69', Harris J. J. ↓, Olomola O. ↑,
69', Newton J. ↓, Mundle-Smith J. ↑,
77', Francis J. ↓, Folarin S. ↑,
81', Kadji D. ↓, Newton T. ↑,
88', Kirk A. 🟨,
89', Obiero M. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sutton won 3.

Sutton is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Wealdstone has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Sutton is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Sutton will win today's game, with odds of 1.9.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Sutton won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 26:15. (average 2.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Sutton won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:6. (average 3:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Sutton	13	5	3	5	14:18	-4	18
19	Wealdstone	13	3	3	7	17:24	-7	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sutton United
English National League
28.08.26	Gateshead - Sutton United	0:1 ✺
22.08.26	Sutton United - Hartlepool United	2:1 ✺
English National League Cup
18.08.26	Sutton United - Leicester City U21	1:0 penalties ✺
English National League
15.08.26	Sutton United - Altrincham	1:0 ✺
08.08.26	Woking - Sutton United	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 WWWWW
- Wealdstone
English National League
28.08.26	Wealdstone - Carlisle United	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Worthing - Wealdstone	1:0 ✺
English National League Cup
18.08.26	Wealdstone - Wolverhampton Wanderers U21	1:3 ✺
English National League
15.08.26	Wealdstone - Harrogate Town	1:3 ✺
08.08.26	Fylde - Wealdstone	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
21.02.26	Sutton United - Wealdstone	3:0
25.10.25	Wealdstone - Sutton United	4:2
15.01.25	Sutton United - Wealdstone	2:2
20.08.24	Wealdstone - Sutton United	0:1
20.02.21	Sutton United - Wealdstone	4:1
21.11.20	Wealdstone - Sutton United	3:3
English FA Cup
20.10.18	Wealdstone - Sutton United	1:2

Sutton United - Wealdstone: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide