Match Info

3. Liga - Round 8

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: BRITA-Arena (Wiesbaden)

Referee: Kampka R. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport
World	Onefootball


	Wehen Wiesbaden		Saarbrücken

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.4	2.9	Watch
	2.25	3.5	2.88
	2.27	3.71	3
	3.77	1.44	8.73	Watch
	2.28	3.45	2.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.28)	3.1 ↓ (3.96)	4.09 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wehen Wiesbaden
40.7%

Draw
33.7%

Saarbrücken
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

23.6%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

23.7%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wehen Wiesbaden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Saarbrücken has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Saarbrücken might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wehen Wiesbaden than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saarbrücken than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Saarbrücken could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Wehen Wiesbaden - Saarbrücken Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Wehen will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Saarbrücken will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Saarbrücken (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Saarbrücken (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Saarbrücken (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Stritzel F. (G) 21. Wohlers O. 27. Gillekens J. 15. Janitzek J. 5. May N. 37. Schleimer L. 47. Suarez D. 11. Gozusirin T. 18. Greilinger F. 25. Agrafiotis N. 29. Kaya F. (C)	13. Menzel P. (G) 18. Wilhelm L. 4. Sonnenberg S. (C) 27. Bichsel J. 11. Multhaup M. 5. Krahn E. 10. Rabihic K. 33. Schumacher T. 20. Pick F. 17. Elongo-Yombo R. 39. Schmidt P.
Substitutes
8. Bogicevic D. 31. Brdar N. (G) 6. Fechner G. 28. Flotho M. 20. Johansson R. 26. Lewald J. 4. Mockenhaupt S. 22. Nejad M. 24. Neubert T.	30. Baumann D. 32. Bormuth R. . Caliskaner K. 23. Civeja T. 15. Kamara A. 31. Neudecker R. 1. Paterok T. (G) 24. Wollschlager L. 8. Zeitz M.
Coaches
Doring N.	Schwartz A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', Suarez D. 🟨,
26', Sonnenberg S. 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Schleimer L. ⚽,
43', Krahn E. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Suarez D. ↓, Fechner G. ↑,
46', Schmidt P. ↓, Kamara A. ↑,
64', Agrafiotis N. ↓, Flotho M. ↑,
66', Kaya F. ↓, Johansson R. ↑,
66', 1 - 1, Pick F. (Pen),
74', Wohlers O. ↓, Mockenhaupt S. ↑,
76', Janitzek J. 🟨,
79', Multhaup M. ↓, Caliskaner K. ↑,
80', Greilinger F. ↓, Bogicevic D. ↑,
83', Wilhelm L. 🟨,
84', Schleimer L. (Pen),
86', Rabihic K. ↓, Civeja T. ↑,
89', Flotho M. 🟨,
90+2', Elongo-Yombo R. ↓, Bormuth R. ↑,
90+4', May N. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wehen won 1.

Wehen has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Saarbrücken is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Wehen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Wehen is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Wehen won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:25. (average 1.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Wehen won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.1:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wehen Wiesbaden
German 3 Bundesliga
20.09.25	Ingolstadt - Wehen Wiesbaden	0:0 ✺
16.09.25	Wehen Wiesbaden - Jahn Regensburg	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Duisburg - Wehen Wiesbaden	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
05.09.25	Wehen Wiesbaden - Elversberg	0:2 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
31.08.25	Schweinfurt - Wehen Wiesbaden	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TWLLW
- 1. FC Saarbrücken
German 3 Bundesliga
19.09.25	Saarbrücken - Schweinfurt	2:1 ✺
16.09.25	Saarbrücken - Ulm 1846	3:1 ✺
13.09.25	VfB Stuttgart II - Saarbrücken	1:3 ✺
30.08.25	Saarbrücken - Erzgebirge Aue	4:1 ✺
23.08.25	Osnabrück - Saarbrücken	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
11.04.25	Wehen Wiesbaden - Saarbrücken	1:1
09.11.24	Saarbrücken - Wehen Wiesbaden	3:1
12.03.23	Wehen Wiesbaden - Saarbrücken	0:2
05.09.22	Saarbrücken - Wehen Wiesbaden	2:2
13.02.22	Wehen Wiesbaden - Saarbrücken	1:0
03.09.21	Saarbrücken - Wehen Wiesbaden	3:4
03.04.21	Wehen Wiesbaden - Saarbrücken	2:2

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