Match Info

3. Liga - Round 31

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion Rote Erde (Dortmund)

Referee: Braun R. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport
World	Onefootball


	Borussia Dortmund II		Ingolstadt

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.4	2.3
	2.85	3.4	2.3
	2.9	3.45	2.28
	2.94	3.43	2.3	Watch
	2.8	3.4	2.25
	2.91	3.42	2.31	Watch
	2.9	3.45	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.73)	3.42 ↓ (3.46)	2.29 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borussia Dortmund II
32.2%

Draw
27.2%

Ingolstadt
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

26.9%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

27%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borussia Dortmund II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Ingolstadt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund II than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Borussia Dortmund II - Ingolstadt Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Borussia Dortmund II will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Ingolstadt will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Lotka M. (G) 15. Huning B. 34. Luhrs Y. 27. Lelle D. 29. Jessen N. 8. Roggow F. (C) 36. Reitz T. 38. Watjen K. 16. Duranville J. 14. Eberwein M. 23. Paulina J.	26. Boevink P. (G) 3. Decker E. 19. Cvjetinovic M. 32. Lorenz S. 43. Keidel F. 20. Deichmann Y. 34. Frode L. (C) 17. Besuschkow M. 8. Kanuric B. 9. Heike T. 37. Testroet P.
Substitutes
7. Besong P. 26. Drakas B. 10. Elongo-Yombo R. 5. Foti A. 17. Gobel P. 20. Hettwer J. 43. Krevsun D. 2. Mogultay B. 31. Ostrzinski S. (G)	7. Borkowski D. 24. Christensen G. 18. Duhring M. N. 1. Funk M. (G) 29. Kopacz D. 16. Malone R. 14. Plath M. 23. Seiffert M. 38. Zeitler D.
Coaches
Zimmermann J.	Wittmann S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Testroet P. ⚽, Deichmann Y. (A),
31', 1 - 1, Watjen K. ⚽,
35', 2 - 1, Eberwein M. ⚽,
37', Jessen N. 🟨,
45+2', Frode L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
56', 2 - 2, Heike T. ⚽, Testroet P. (A),
60', Paulina J. ↓, Foti A. ↑,
60', Duranville J. ↓, Elongo-Yombo R. ↑,
61', Heike T. ↓, Zeitler D. ↑,
61', Frode L. ↓, Plath M. ↑,
68', 3 - 2, Reitz T. ⚽,
70', Deichmann Y. ↓, Kopacz D. ↑,
75', Watjen K. ↓, Hettwer J. ↑,
79', Besuschkow M. ↓, Malone R. ↑,
81', 3 - 3, Testroet P. ⚽, Kanuric B. (A),
90+1', Zeitler D. 🟨,
90+2', Kanuric B. 🟨,
90+3', Foti A. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 5).

Borussia Dortmund II is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Ingolstadt is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Borussia Dortmund II could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Borussia Dortmund II: Irorere F. (Foot Injury) Mane F. (Muscle Injury) Paschke F. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Ingolstadt: Costly M. (Yellow Cards) Gronning S. (Ankle Injury) Guwara L. (Shoulder Injury) Hoppe M. (Knee Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Borussia Dortmund II won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:12 (average 1.4:2.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Borussia Dortmund II won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:5 (average 0.5:2.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Ingolstadt - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 39.08%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borussia Dortmund II
German 3 Bundesliga
29.03.25	Waldhof Mannheim - Borussia Dortmund II	0:0 ✺
15.03.25	Borussia Dortmund II - Viktoria Köln	1:1 ✺
12.03.25	Dynamo Dresden - Borussia Dortmund II	0:0 ✺
09.03.25	1860 München - Borussia Dortmund II	1:0 ✺
01.03.25	Borussia Dortmund II - Rot-Weiß Essen	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TTTLL
- FC Ingolstadt 04
German 3 Bundesliga
30.03.25	Ingolstadt - Viktoria Köln	3:1 ✺
15.03.25	Verl - Ingolstadt	1:4 ✺
11.03.25	Ingolstadt - Alemannia Aachen	0:3 ✺
08.03.25	Hansa Rostock - Ingolstadt	2:0 ✺
01.03.25	Ingolstadt - Sandhausen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
25.10.24	Ingolstadt - Borussia Dortmund II	5:3
13.04.24	Borussia Dortmund II - Ingolstadt	1:1
04.11.23	Ingolstadt - Borussia Dortmund II	1:1
04.02.23	Ingolstadt - Borussia Dortmund II	1:2
07.08.22	Borussia Dortmund II - Ingolstadt	0:4

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